I recently attended the annual conference of the CFA Institute, the largest association of investment professionals in the world. This blog post is based on remarks I gave at a panel discussion, “Sustainable and Responsible Investing: Can Markets Save the World?” Notably, this is the first time the Institute has hosted a plenary session on sustainable investing at its annual conference.
But why should members of the investment community care? After all, they are not trying to save the world; they have a fiduciary responsibility to generate returns to their shareholders. Three reasons explain why investors should include sustainability considerations in their decisions, and why doing so is compatible with fiduciary responsibility.
1. Environmental degradation and the impacts of climate change are material business risks
2. Companies that damage the environment can no longer hide
3. Sustainability is a major driver of business strategy and competitiveness
Companies are also talking more about sustainability when they meet their investors. Ceres found that 53 percent of companies surveyed were engaging investors on sustainability initiatives, up from 40 percent in 2012.
Environmental activists pushing Massachusetts to divest its state pension fund from fossil fuel companies are getting words of encouragement from some of the candidates running for governor.
At least three Democratic candidates are offering full or qualified support for the activists, who have also tried to pressure universities and local governments to pull financial support from the companies in an attempt to raise awareness about climate change.
The activists, including many college students, are holding out hope for a bill that would require the state Pension Reserves Investment Management Board to "sell, redeem, divest or withdraw all publicly-traded securities" in fossil fuel companies.
"In the same way divestment efforts changed the national discussion around tobacco and apartheid, we hope the divestment of fossil fuels will change the national discussion around climate change," said Emily Kirkland, a recent graduate of Brown University and spokeswoman for the Better Future Project.
Norway’s economy is highly dependent on oil and gas production, yet the Nordic country’s largest private pension fund manager, Storebrand, worries about the risks of investing in companies that extract fossil fuels. Figuring that tighter regulations on carbon emissions will emerge in the coming years in an effort to combat climate change, Storebrand has decided not to invest in businesses that it believes will be hurt most by those new rules: coal companies and large producers of oil from tar sands.
“The business case is the main driver for what we do; companies with a sound and systematic environmental performance also perform better financially,” said Christine Meisingset, Storebrand’s head of sustainability.
Ms. Meisingset and Storebrand, which manages about 500 billion kronor, or about $74 billion, are among the fund managers beginning to think skeptically about fossil fuel companies —
Word came recently that both the Philadelphia Quakers and the Unitarian General Assembly have decided to divest from fossil fuels. It followed by a few weeks the news that the Roman Catholic University of Dayton and Union Theological Seminary, the home of many a great thinker, had done likewise.
In each case I felt a kind of surge of joy, that these historic institutions were helping transform the political and moral landscape, redefining for our time what’s right and wrong. Destroying the climate, they were saying, is incompatible with our evolving ethical sense. We used to think investing in fossil fuel was okay, but the new science has convinced us, and we don’t think that way any longer.
I could, I guess, have felt anger that they waited so long—that for years their investment portfolios had helped drive the expansion of coal and gas and oil, in turn driving up the temperature of the planet for decades to come. But that didn’t occur to me. It was joy only.
It did, however, occur to the New York Times, which for a while last Friday had at the very top of its website a strange story excoriating an investor named Tom Steyer, who more than a year ago divested his holdings in fossil fuel companies, and when he couldn’t and when he knew he couldn’t square his new personal beliefs with the investment mandate of the firm he’d founded, he quit his job.
Even so, the Times noted, “the coal-related projects his firm bankrolled will generate tens of millions of tons of carbon pollution for years, if not decades, to come.” Which is both true and obvious: How could it be any different? Tom Steyer’s decision to divest couldn’t shut down the coal mines he’d helped build; it could only help insure no new ones would be constructed. None of us have the power to travel back in time.
The Times story was a transparent hit job. It drew on the work of a partisan connected to the Koch brothers and writing for the rightwing blog Powerline, which had been insisting for months that Steyer—who not only divested but went on to devote a sizeable portion of his fortune to fighting for climate action—was a “hypocrite,” in fact an “epic hypocrite.” One of the two reporters on the story—Coral Davenport—has in her brief tenure at the Times regularly disdained the grassroots climate movement for action against projects like the Keystone pipeline. (My confident prediction is that when we march in record numbers for climate action in New York City on Sept. 21 she’ll figure out some way to make it all seem small and silly.) The piece on Steyer, that she co-wrote with Michael Barbaro, was not a skeptical but a cynical piece of work: It built a strawman, bent him into an impossible position, and proceeded to light him on fire.
But if the Times should never have run it, the piece does nonetheless allow all of us to think through this question of hypocrisy. Every one of us in the Western world has contributed to climate change. We drive, fly, cool, heat. Perhaps we went to (or, like me, work at) colleges whose endowments are invested in fossil fuels, or perhaps we draw pensions from funds that back Exxon and Shell. If we don’t mine coal ourselves, we likely work for companies that belong to the Chamber of Commerce and hence are active in the fight against climate legislation. On and on it goes, since fossil fuel is knit into the fabric of our society. If, as the Times puts it, Steyer is “shadowed by coal,” so are the rest of us.
None of us, as I’ve said, are perfect. Actually, a few of us are. If you’re looking for people who can never be accused of any hypocrisy, it’s the Koch brothers that you want—if you deny science and disdain democracy, there’s no way for anyone to hold you intellectually or morally accountable. While the Times was busy trying to shame Steyer for the crime of changing his mind, real journalists at the Toronto Star were completing an investigation into the extent of the Koch holdings in the far north. Piecing together all the scattered data, they found that they control an astonishing 1.1 million acres of the tar sands, and that they are huge contributors to all the “thinktanks” and campaigns trying to build Keystone and other pipelines. And there’s nothing even remotely hypocritical about it—it’s just disgusting.
Late June, the Fossil Free Indexes US was launched by investing research company Fossil Free Indexes. The move come at a time when investors are not only looking to invest in clean technologies, but want to be investing in companies which are themselves not reliant upon fossil fuels.
“FFIUS is the first of its kind in the US,” said Stuart Braman, founder/CEO of Fossil Free Indexes (FFI). “We’re primed to give investors a unique opportunity to invest in the broad market while avoiding the increasing risk of long-term investment in fossil fuels.”
The Index is based upon the Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) — itself based on the market capitalisations of 500 top companies in leading industries of the US economy — but excludes the largest oil, gas, and coal companies as identified by FFI’s proprietary The Carbon Underground 200.
Fossil fuels have been a financial cornerstone for decades. More than $5 trillion is invested in 1,469 oil and gas companies and 275 coal companies. Dozens of public and private institutions are now divesting their money because of environmental concerns, strategic planning, or fear that their assets might become be stranded because of emission regulations. A Bloomberg New Energy Finance White paper asks where can the fossil fuel investments go?
Bloomberg concluded that the necessary attributes were found in seven different sectors, ranging from information technology to real estate. Only real estate has been more profitable. Information technology is larger, already worth $7.64 trillion, but pays low dividends.
Three of the world’s four largest companies are IT’s: Apple ($588 billion), Google ($400 billion) and Microsoft ($360 billion).
Other sectors to watch: Pharmaceuticals ($3.9 trn), Food & Beverages ($3.34 trn), Engineering ($1.66), REITs ($1.39), Automobiles ($1.23), and Industrials ($1.17 trn).
Every one of these sectors dwarfs clean energy. There are currently 106 clean energy companies, whose cumulative worth is $220 billion. Bloomberg predicts this sector will grow $2.8 trillion over the next decade, reaching more than half the size of the present fossil fuel market size.
A new report written by Nathaniel Bullard at Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) highlights the difficulties large institutional investors would have divesting from fossil fuels. What it does not specifically discuss is that these difficulties could lead to large financial losses for investors who see the difficulty of divesting as a reason to delay.
In contrast, it pays to be first rather than last when divesting from fossil fuels. While it is possible to be too early, at some point the worsening fundamentals of fossil fuel industries and/or a large scale divestment movement will undermine the value of all fossil fuel stocks. Those who divest sooner will have much more money to invest elsewhere than those who delay because divesting is just too hard.
Fortunately, small investors have it easy. Divesting, for once, is a place where the small investor has the advantage on Wall Street.
Renewable Energy World asked me to write a commentary on Bloomberg New Energy Finance's recent report on the difficulties institutional investors are likely to have divesting from fossil fuels. The report details how the scale, yield, liquidity, and historic growth of the oil and gas sector are impossible to match with any other investment sector.
While this is quite true, much of the other coverage has missed the point. Ironically, I thought Bloomberg News' coverage was some of the worst, because it focused on the least important aspect of fossil fuels as an investment sector: historical growth. While a sector's yield, liquidity, and especially scale generally persist for decades, growth trends are prone to sudden reversals. The fact that oil and gas stocks have done so well over the last five years should prompt all wise investors to start taking some profits, regardless of their attitudes towards the environment.
Instead, I focus on likely future trends for oil and gas stocks, and consider how fundamental factors and the potential growth of the divestment movement may affect the potential future growth of the oil and gas sector. The prognosis is not good.
You can read the whole commentary here: Divesting from Fossil Fuels: Last One Out Loses.
I interviewed the report's author, Nathaniel Bullard, for the piece. He had some interesting points that did not fit into my commentary, so I include the whole transcript below.
Stuart Braman is a PhD environmental scientist who teaches at Columbia University and a former managing director at Standard & Poor’s Risk Solutions Group. He said that after seeing McKibben speak in 2012, he wanted to invest in a carbon-free index.
Turns out, there weren’t any. So he founded an effort called Fossil Free Indexes, which earlier this summer published research on how the S&P 500 performs when stripped of the more than 25 companies that hold coal, oil or gas reserves The full energy sector makes up more than 10 percent of the S&P 500.
What happens when you kick out the companies that make civilization go?
Not much. What Fossil Free Indexes shows is a tight correlation between the full S&P 500 and the same index stripped of the fossil fuel businesses:
An international group of 160 environmental leaders issued a challenge this morning to those who hold some significant pursestrings. They urged foundations and other charitable givers with combined holdings to divest from fossil fuels and free up billions of dollars to invest in clean energy.
They asked the foundations and givers to invest in clean energy companies, divest from fossil fuels and make grants to clean energy start-ups. They said they believe the December 2015 UN Climate Summit in Paris may be the last chance to save Earth’s environment and that by redirecting their investments, foundations can help build a movement that will put pressure on the negotiators at the summit.
In their Environmental Laureates’ Declaration on Climate Change, published in the International New York Times, the group said, “We, 160 winners of the world’s environmental prizes, call on foundations and philanthropists everywhere to deploy their endowments immediately in the effort to save civilization. The world’s philanthropic foundations, given the scale of their endowments, hold the power to trigger a survival reflex in society, so greatly helping those negotiating the climate treaty.”
The effort was spearheaded by the European Environment Foundation (EEF), which raised the money for the project via crowdfunding site Indiegogo and circulated the document for signatures.
“The world’s philanthropic foundations fund work which improves the lives of millions of people around the world, but if they want that work to last they can’t afford to ignore climate change,” said EEF trustee Dr. Jeremy Leggett, who coordinated the project. “Investing in a clean energy future is the best way to safeguard their work and their finances. We hope this appeal will stimulate vital investment in a clean energy future, demonstrate support for an ambitious climate change treaty, and create space for a tipping point in climate action.”
Signees represented the U.S., virtually every European country, Australia, Chile, Argentina, Brazil, Indonesia, Canada, Haiti, China, Nepal, India, Kenya, Cameroon, South Africa, Tanzania, Kuwait, Egypt and Palestine, among others. They included climate leaders such as Sophia Prize winner and noted author Bill McKibben; Chinese Hillary Laureate and Time Magazine Hero of the Environment Peggy Liu; Australia’s Paul Gilding, winner of the Tomorrow Magazine Environmental Leadership Award; Canadian professor/researcher Paul Schindler, winner of the Tyler Prize for Environmental Achievement for his work on the destruction of freshwater lakes; and Dr. Harish Hande, whose work has focused on using sustainable technologies to eliminate poverty.
Like most central bank governors, Mark Carney, the Governor of the Bank of England, chooses his words carefully.
So the financial community—and government policy makers—sat up and took notice earlier this month when Carney, addressing a World Bank seminar on corporate reporting standards, said he was concerned about investments in fossil fuels.
“The vast majority of reserves are unburnable,” Carney said.
“Tragedy of horizons”
He warned companies, investors and policy makers that they need to avoid what he described as the “tragedy of horizons,” and to look further ahead to meet challenges such as climate change.
Investors are being repeatedly told that money sunk into fossil fuels is not only bad for the climate, but is also potentially seriously dangerous to financial health.
The fundamental idea espoused by a wide spread of influential voices—ranging from theInternational Energy Association (IEA) to finance funds that have many billions of dollars worth of investments under their control—is that, in order to combat climate change, a large portion of the world’s remaining fossil fuel reserves must stay in the ground.
“Not more than one-third of proven reserves of fossil fuels can be consumed prior to 2050 if the world is to achieve the 2˚C goal,” the IEA says.
Climate change activists will aim to give the big banks a $200m bloody nose on Saturday, in the latest round of what has been an increasingly bitter campaign to force the divestment of companies with fossil fuel interests.
A “national day of divestment” will see more than 1,000 bank customers switch their accounts away from the “big four” banks: ANZ, Westpac, Commonwealth Bank and NAB.
Campaign organisers Market Forces and 350.org claim that the major banks have already lost $250m worth of business from customers in the past year due to their continued financing of fossil fuel projects. They estimate a further $200m will be stripped away on Saturday, deriving the figure from total assets including loans and insurance.
The day of action follows the rancour that greeted the Australian National University’s decision to divest from seven resource companies for ethical reasons.
Customers of Britain’s biggest banks are to demand that high street institutions stop using their savings and investments to finance the fossil fuel industry, in a major new divestment campaign launched on Monday.
Blue & Green Tomorrow is currently running a crowdfunder to ensure its survival. Please pledge.
The ‘Divest!’ campaign, launched by the ethical banking reform group Move Your Money, calls on customers to write to their banks and threaten to withdraw their savings, unless they pledge to cease investment in the polluting industry.
A template letter available online gives the big five banks – HSBC, Barclays, RBS, Lloyds and Santander – until the end of January to commit to divestment. Together, these banks have so far issued more than £66 billion in corporate loans, equities and bonds into coal, tar sands, fracking, oil and gas extraction.
Timed to coincide with Good Money Week, the campaign will also feature demonstrations outside the London headquarters of HSBC, Barclays and RBS.
This follows a survey that found 39% of Britons are concerned about their savings and investments being used to fund fossil fuels, while 36% want their bank to stop investing in the sector.
The campaign represents a new approach for the growing global divestment movement, which has so far largely targeted institutions such as churches and universities.
Divestment campaigners have called on such investors to divest from oil, coal and gas firms because of the massive environmental impact that such companies have.
The fossil fuel divestment movement is gathering steam, with institutions across the world committing to remove dirty energy investments from their stock portfolios, and in just over two months that energy will come to an international head.
Climate advocates 350.org are organizing the first-ever Global Divestment Day on February 13-14, 2015, organizing thousands of people on five continents to take collective action by demanding their respective institutions stop investing in dirty energy for economic and environmental reasons.
From students demanding their universities divest endowments, to individuals closing accounts at banks who finance fossil fuel development, to faith leaders and people dealing with climate change impacts urging action on a moral basis, 350.org says their action “will show that we are a truly global and growing force to be reckoned with.”
Hundreds of Stanford professors are urging the university to divest its holdings from fossil fuel companies.
In a letter sent Sunday to the university, 300 Stanford professors, including two Nobel laureates, outlined the threat climate change poses to the earth and how the fossil fuel holdings contribute to that threat. They wrote that the world’s top 200 fossil fuel companies have enough fossil fuels in their reserves to release 2,795 gigatons of carbon dioxide, but scientists recommend that the world cap its carbon dioxide emissions to 565 gigatons over the next 40 years if it wants to keep warming below 2°C.
The Stanford professors say that, in order to do its part in helping curb climate change, Stanford should divest its endowment of all fossil fuel holdings.
ROCKMAN wrote:Apparently one way to become a liberal pro-environment/anti fossil fuel billionaire is to first make your $billions being a pro-fossil fuel investor: ...
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 157 guests