Exploring Hydrocarbon Depletion
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SeaGypsy wrote:(...)My main point of concern on the event horizon is how ELM is going to pan out, re-nationalization of resources or something else, like global energy war. As soon as this year we may get to see....
Export Land Model, the theory proposed by Jeffrey Brown (aka Westexas over at the oildrum) that oil-exporting nations tend to absorb more of their oil-sale generated wealth as oil domestic consumption, thus accelerating their own export declines.SGV wrote:SeaGypsy wrote:(...)My main point of concern on the event horizon is how ELM is going to pan out, re-nationalization of resources or something else, like global energy war. As soon as this year we may get to see....
We made a pack with the nice-devil to keep our streams cleans and our labor force fed. Not so much the Chinese, El Salvadorans, et. al.gollum wrote:One thing about the Export Land Model that should concern Americans is that we already run huge trade deficits because of the domination of the dollar in world trade. In an already constricted oil market we may find we have nothing that producers want. I expect in the future we will be limited to what we can produce on our own, the much sought after goal of energy independance will finally become reality.
Lore wrote:I believe the main problem is that you won't be able to count on the climate for suitable growing conditions no matter where in the future. A lack of stable weather conditions will make it almost impossible to rely on a consistent and productive crop, even as climate areas shift. At least one capable of feeding 7 billion plus people.
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