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OilFinder2 wrote:Size of discovery: 500 million - 1.2 billion barrels boe recoverable
Date: August 26, 2011
Company(s): Statoil
Name: Aldous and Avaldsnes
Location: Norwegian continental shelf
API: No information
Flow rate of test well(s): No information
Estimated production startup date: No information
LINK
Recoverable running total year to date: 9.454 billion barrels minimum to 10.854 billion barrels maximum
OIP running total year to date: 400 million barrels minimum to 400 million barrels maximum
Statoil Boosts Estimates at N. Sea Find
RigZone / August 16, 2011
Communication between the Aldous and Avaldsnes oil discoveries in the North Sea has now been confirmed. In combination these discoveries may represent an oil structure of between 500 million and 1.2 billion barrels of recoverable oil equivalent.
If the upper part of the interval strikes pay dirt, the discovery will be one of the ten largest oil finds ever on the Norwegian continental shelf (NCS). Statoil has a 40% stake both in license PL 265, where Aldous was discovered, and in PL 501, where the Avaldsnes discovery was made. ...

[...]
As the company announced on 8 August, a minimum 65-metre oil column has been confirmed in Aldous Major South well 16/2-8 in the North Sea. The discovery was made in Jurassic sandstone in a very good quality reservoir consisting of coarse-grained, unconsolidated sand.
The well has also established common oil/water contact between the Aldous and Avaldsnes structures, and according to preliminary estimates the combined discovery in the two licences (PL 265 and PL 501) totals between 500 million and 1.2 billion barrels of recoverable oil equivalent. Between 200 and 400 million barrels of these resources have been discovered in well 16/2-8, with strong indications from well data of another 200 to 400 million barrels of recoverable oil equivalent in the same structure, whereas a resource base of 100 to 400 barrels previously has been estimated in the Avaldsnes structure (PL 501).
The well was drilled by the Transocean Leader drilling rig, which soon will spud Aldous Major North well 16/2-9 (PL265) to clarify the further potential and any communication with Aldous/Avaldsnes. In addition the partners plan further appraisal drilling in licence PL 265 next year to clarify the full volume potential for a future development solution.
[...]




pstarr wrote:So oilguy, finder, where did the oil go?




TonyPrep wrote:I just spotted this table of discovery and production for the years 2007-2009:
______Discoveries (Gb)___Production (Gb)
2007__10.0_____________26.0
2008__13.0_____________26.3
2009__12.4_____________25.8
Total__35.4_____________78.1
Link
This doesn't seem to match your records, Oily, and these are IHS figures.

You're kidding, right? Oily posts discovery numbers that are well up to production figures, not less than half. His aim, after all, is to prove to himself that peak oil is still a long way off. In fact, discoveries have run well behind production for over 20 years.vtsnowedin wrote:TonyPrep wrote:I just spotted this table of discovery and production for the years 2007-2009:
______Discoveries (Gb)___Production (Gb)
2007__10.0_____________26.0
2008__13.0_____________26.3
2009__12.4_____________25.8
Total__35.4_____________78.1
Link
This doesn't seem to match your records, Oily, and these are IHS figures.
Considering that Oily is a one man show I think his discovery numbers match that table well enough

TonyPrep wrote:I just spotted this table of discovery and production for the years 2007-2009:
______Discoveries (Gb)___Production (Gb)
2007__10.0_____________26.0
2008__13.0_____________26.3
2009__12.4_____________25.8
Total__35.4_____________78.1
Link
This doesn't seem to match your records, Oily, and these are IHS figures.


OilFinder2 wrote:pstarr wrote:So oilguy, finder, where did the oil go?
It went here.

TonyPrep wrote:I just spotted this table of discovery and production for the years 2007-2009:
______Discoveries (Gb)___Production (Gb)
2007__10.0_____________26.0
2008__13.0_____________26.3
2009__12.4_____________25.8
Total__35.4_____________78.1
Link
This doesn't seem to match your records, Oily, and these are IHS figures.

No, it was because Orlov got his quote wrong - he said discoveries instead of reserves. That's another issue, though, I posted this table to bring Oily back down to earth.Bruce_S wrote:Interesting that Laherrere uses discovery numbers to refute Yergin's reserves increase argument. Do you think he switched to another measure because he can't refute Yergin's claim?

TonyPrep wrote:No, it was because Orlov got his quote wrong - he said discoveries instead of reserves. That's another issue, though, I posted this table to bring Oily back down to earth.Bruce_S wrote:Interesting that Laherrere uses discovery numbers to refute Yergin's reserves increase argument. Do you think he switched to another measure because he can't refute Yergin's claim?

babystrangeloop wrote:OilFinder2 wrote:Size of discovery: 500 million - 1.2 billion barrels boe recoverable
Date: August 26, 2011
Company(s): Statoil
Name: Aldous and Avaldsnes
Location: Norwegian continental shelf
API: No information
Flow rate of test well(s): No information
Estimated production startup date: No information
LINK
[...]
Not so fast. The article you linked to says:Statoil Boosts Estimates at N. Sea Find
RigZone / August 16, 2011
Communication between the Aldous and Avaldsnes oil discoveries in the North Sea has now been confirmed. In combination these discoveries may represent an oil structure of between 500 million and 1.2 billion barrels of recoverable oil equivalent.
If the upper part of the interval strikes pay dirt, the discovery will be one of the ten largest oil finds ever on the Norwegian continental shelf (NCS). Statoil has a 40% stake both in license PL 265, where Aldous was discovered, and in PL 501, where the Avaldsnes discovery was made. ...
In related news IF my bathtub turns out to be a Tardis then it MAY contain more oil than the entire planet Earth ever did.
The combined Avaldsnes/Aldous Major South discoveries therefore have a gross Contingent Resource range estimate of 1.2 to 2.6 billion barrels of recoverable oil.













The combined Avaldsnes/Aldous Major South discoveries therefore have a gross Contingent Resource range estimate of 1.2 to 2.6 billion barrels of recoverable oil.


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