thuja wrote:Well you've spent a lot of time over the years saying that any concern about oil depletion is alarmist nonsense.
I've been here 5 months. But peak oil as alarmist nonsense sounds like something I might have said in those 5 months. Based on historical precedent of course.
thuja wrote: But recently you've been quite taken with the idea that we need to transition to using all electric vehicles to solve, in your words, the "peak oil problem".
Now I know I have said that.
thuja wrote:So I'm wondering if you could explain what you believe right now. Is there a problem or not?
I have also said that I believe firmly in the Disclaimer listed on JD's blog. Oil is a finite resource. Humans cannot use it forever, and everyone believes that someday, a production rate of it must reach some sort of maximum. Yergin, EIA, Lynch, everyone, JD, everyone.
By logical extension, one day, there will be none. Also by logical extension, if we as humans are not prepared for the day "none" arrives, this is bad. Fortunately, with easily a century of oil left at current production rates, we are cranking out the solutions. This is a good thing, giving us plenty of time to decide which types of EVs we humans like. Giving us time to refine them, choose our favorite colors, decide on performance EV versus economy EV, tall EVs versus short ones, trucks EVs versus minivan EVs, etc etc.
So there is no problem now, but someday, within a few generations, there COULD be. I am happy that humans have built a solution, and it is now available to the motoring public. Human ingenuity and farsightedness is not to be underestimated.