ROCKMAN wrote:tita - And while you're at let's not forget how much the Rockman and the rest of the US oil patch hates the Canadians and was for President Obama doing anything to impede their imports. Unfortunately he really did nothing. We are not one happy band of brothers: we are competitors for the consumer $'s. And as long as the vast majority of those customers are content to continue to consume fossil fuels and directly generate the vast majority of the GHG that is driving climate change we'll keep making our bit of the profit...along with the various govts.
I'll assume you understand that the oil patch is more then glad to have the climate change finger pointed at it then the real culprits...the consumers. If the govt went after them the way it pretends to go after the oil patch and forced less consumption the oil patch would be in a world of hurt. LOL. Really.
Alfred Tennyson wrote:We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
For whatever reason we used to talk about Mexico oil prospects a lot but lately there hasn't been a whole lot of news that I have seen. Any news I missed ROCKMAN? Or Toolpush, Rockdoc123, and all the other oil industry insiders around here?
Outages around the world start to accumulate. In addition to the huge, if temporary, losses from Canada, supplies seem to be falling in multiple places around the globe. U.S. oil production is down 800,000 barrels per day from its April 2015 peak. Venezuela lost 188,000 barrels per day in the first quarter due to aging oilfields and an economic crisis. Latin America on the whole lost 441,000 barrels per day in the first quarter.
GoghGoner wrote:Looks like May production yoy is going to show a huge decline. You have a 1.8 MBD decline just in US and Canada. Another 0.5 MBD from Latin America. Outages in Nigeria, Libya, and Iraq probably around 0.2 MBD. So 2.5 MBD decline offset by 0.5 MBD increase in Iran?
Right now, looks like 2016 there will be less oil produced than 2015.
pstarr wrote:We are at or over the peak.
Revi wrote:Sure, more money creates more oil, but the money's gone, so we are at peak oil again.
Revi wrote:It's going to get interesting now.
pstarr wrote:Utter BS. Every US recession (save one in 1998?) was preceded by rapidly rising oil prices.
pstarr wrote: It is commonly accepted by every economist that the 1973 and 1979 recessions were a specific consequence of high oil prices a result of war and/or trade restriction. The last Great Recession was no different. Evidence around the world is not much different. The Egyptian collapse was a direct consequence of high oil. As were the collapses in the PIIG countries.
tita wrote:Adam - In the late 70's, there was an oil shock, followed with a not-really-a-glut because KSA tried to counter it decreasing its prod.
tita wrote: The full glut happened in 1986, when KSA flooded the market. So, technically, the glut took 3'500 rigs away (77%) in the US, but it was between 82 and 86.
tita wrote:The actual fall from 2000 to 500 (75%) is almost in the same proportion of the fall in early 80's. We had less rigs because of 3D and Hz, and an already good knowledge of the underground because they drilled like crazy everywhere before.
tita wrote:Don't forget that it lasted almost 20 years. The glut was maintained with increasing production outside US despite low prices. The international rig count remained steadier. But now, we are back to the 1999 levels, the lowest global rig count recorded in 40 years.
Revi wrote:OPEC is in disarray. It's a shame, because this is their moment, but they don't have the discipline to work together.
Oh well, it will cause the oil that is left to be burned up that much faster.
Revi wrote:OPEC is in disarray. It's a shame, because this is their moment, but they don't have the discipline to work together.
Oh well, it will cause the oil that is left to be burned up that much faster.
pstarr wrote:Did you read the study Adam?As of 2013, there are an estimated 24 trillion barrels of oil in place, of which 6 trillion barrels are deemed technologically recoverable.
Of those 6 trillion in resources only 1 trillion are reserves, p5's specially. (It's a oil-geology thingy. Don't stress yourself)
Anyway 1 trillion has already been pumped out of the ground and burned up. So we are at a halfway point in both oil reserves and production. Do you know what the halfway mark is called? It has a fun name. Rhymes with bleak.
Alfred Tennyson wrote:We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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