Outcast_Searcher wrote:ROCKMAN wrote:tube - "If the American economy needs $10/bbl oil to continue, and it sells for $15/bbl, watch the American way of life disappear before your eyes." Sorry but you lost me there. If the US economy needed $10/bbl oil back when it was selling for $90+/bbl and our "way of life" didn't disappear then why might it disappear at $30/bbl?
+1
I keep asking this (slightly different words -- same concept). I never get what I consider to be CLOSE to a satisfactory answer.
Meanwhile in the US, where the economy is growing, unemployment is shrinking, and wages are growing, the idea that people "can't afford oil products" when, for example, real estate and rental prices are solidly increasing because demand exceeds supply and where hordes of Americans are buying new cars and lots of large gas guzzling SUV's and trucks -- the idea that people "can't afford" gasoline at roughly $1.59 a gallon is silly on its face.
I'm not hear to change your mind. Obviously it doesn't affect what I am doing.
Having said that...
who says the economy is growing? How can it be "growing" and unemployment shrinking and wages rising when stores are closing or firing workers (WalMart, Sears, RadioShack, etc.)?
And, to use real estate as a barometer for economic health leads you right down the road to 2008.
The rich are supporting the housing sector. That is where all the price increases originate.
The average person cannot afford these prices without life-long debt. It is the Chinese trying to spend all their American dollars that are driving house prices (like Canada). American houses are too expensive for Americans. Chinese are buying houses in Detroit. Now, that's crazy!
Sure Americans are "buying" cars because they get that low-cost lease or mortgage-like loan. And, once again, it is the Chinese who are making the American auto companies their profits as the Chinese try to dump their American dollars.
Collapsed gasoline/oil prices are a sign that the whole world is contracting/shrinking. It is the signal that we have reached the end of growth (or are very very close).