Is it official? Are both the IEA and EIA now trolling PO.com?
I don't doubt that if you drill some new wells in Saudi, or bring more old ones on-line, in Saudi and a few other places, you can increase production for a while. I also don't doubt that if we do this, we eventually hit the downslope harder and faster.
At any rate, I'm still pretty sure that economics and the ability to support a complex supply chain will kill oil as a popular fuel way before we're even close to running out. When it gets scarce enough and expensive enough, oil become the sole property of governments and the military - entities less sensitive to price. You and I will either buy an overpriced electric car, use electric public transport, or walk.
But hey, there'll still be plenty of oil.
That's the same generic drivel POer have been pedaling for 30 years.
POisNow doomer method :
If new record supply high achieved
Say " No doubt producers can supply record oil, even though we are past 'natural' peak. But doing so just accelerates the problem and the doom "We're still on the plateau of production, Yippie!
As it is, those figures are really in the "noise" and the only reason Chindia etc, are still growing is because the west is declining, were it not for the western recession, we'd have hit the production wall head-on a couple of years ago. Well we did give it a glancing blow!
So the world energy budget just got lucky there? the west declined just as the east boomed, by pure coincidence? Er no. Western industry was moved east for the cheap labour. The idea that, had a dice rolled a different result a decade ago, we could just have easily been in an economy with a fully industrialised west and eastn world is BS fiction cooked up to serve doomer fantasies.
>Wait a minute, wasn't the unlimited resources crowd just a year ago crowing about Peak Demand?Not really.
What happened to the whole "we'll all drive electric cars" bit?That's a misdirected idea cooked up to serve the tree hugger, AGW, peakOilDoomIsNow paradigm. Cornys aren't part of that.
Algae and switchgrass and whatever the press release of the day was fluffing?That was a misdirected idea cooked up to serve tree hugger, AGW, peakOilDoomIsNow paradigm. Cornys aren't part of that.
That these ideas have failed to gain an economic foothold other than token uptake by the zealot tree hugger, AGW, peakOilDoomIsNow paradigm types, is evidence against any peak oil supply forcing the western economy to change. i.e. it's supports cornucopian outlook. And evidences that PeakOilDoomIsNow is dead wrong. In yer face!
and nukes...?Nuclear power is fine. But the oil industry and it's pet western mass media have always smeared nuclear because it threatens the oil energy economy because it's even cheaper. The events in Japan have been mana from heaven for the purpose of smearing nuclear power.
>Looks to me like the only substitute for cheap oil is expensive oil (or a reasonable facsimile).Expensive oil is one of many alternatives. But we won't know by experience for likely another 100 years. Any oil under $1000 a barrel is very cheap.