AgentR11 wrote:The right way to think of fuel cost is cargo-lb * miles / gallon(or $). Even at $20/gal, you'll still be willing to get your junk to the site. You likely WILL NOT be willing to unhook the trailer, and drive the F250 another 15 miles for lunch. But that is a reasonable adaptation if you ask me; not something to be feared or worried about.
There is a lot of utility in a few gallons of tractor fuel. Employs a farmer for a day and feeds a bunch of people. There is much utility in a Chinaperson's scooter. He/she commutes for a fraction of a gallon. Not much good comes from financier driving to work on Wall Street from the suburbs in his Escalante.
AgentR11 wrote:The bicycle otoh, is perfectly adequate to get Bob the Backhoe Operator to the worksite. Also works great for the med-tech to get to the hospital, the secretary to get to her office, the county courthouse staff to get in to work, etc. Most people do not drag a lot of stuff with them when they travel, most of the time. Save the ICE vehicle for when you need to move you and a bunch of other stuff.
this is where it breaks down. Unfortunately the USA is one hell of a rough place to ride a bike. Partly our own fault for creating a car-dependent suburb, partially the luck of the draw. The New World didn't have to be huge, rocky, mountainous, frigid in the winter and horrid in the summer. From now on the China bike commuter will always have an advantage; his climate is benign, his cities bicycle-able, his expenses tiny compared to ours (little house, little heating/cooling bill, short commute, neighborhood services, etc.)
AgentR11 wrote:That said, I've been worrying more recently about how dependent bikes are on industrial tech for their maintenance; having broken several spokes and overpowered a link on my chain in the last couple weeks. I replaced the rear wheel with a stronger, higher tech type, I look at it now as a huge liability. Sure, it can take all 350lbs of me+bike+cargo even when I push it to 30mph, but if it fails, there's no way I can fix it myself. So I dunno, could I tolerate cycling if I was forced to fall back to a fixie and minimal cargo carrying ability? What would be the point then? Seems even a modestly sophisticated bicycle needs quite a bit of fussy maintenance; I don't really mind, its good to fix stuff with my hands from time to time, but shipped parts and specialty tools galore are involved.
will probably comes down to a matter of bearings. I imagine the rest can be forged pretty easily?