sjn wrote:Why should oil be special in this regard?
Because after you drill a well, once the finding and developing cost is sunk, lifting costs are very low so production is highly profitable—overproduction then has little downside.
The reason for OPEC limiting production in the first place was to support price. Before that the Railroad Commission of Texas limited production to support price. But OPEC is no longer in control because of US production surge. With no limits (except the crude oil ban) frackers fracked away and oil price crashed.
I really think that is the big deal here, no one is restricting the market as they have been since what? The second world war?
I think market speculation kept the price high longer than KSA thought it should be high, they said so way back. Consequently they kinda peed their man-dress a little at the thought demand might actually crash and alternatives get some traction.
“So sooner or later, however much they [US producers] hold out, in the end, their financial affairs will limit their production,” he said.
“We want to tell the world that high efficiency producing countries are the ones that deserve market share,” said Mr Naimi added. “If the price falls, it falls . . . Others will be harmed greatly before we feel any pain.”
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2014/12/ ... arrel.html