Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby M_B_S » Sat 14 Oct 2017, 12:48:44

Oct 13
03:00 GMT
30.7°
-34.7° 105 mph 970 mb
Hurricane
2
Oct 13
09:00 GMT
31.1°
-33.9° 105 mph 970 mb
Hurricane
2
Oct 13
15:00 GMT
31.8°
-32.9° 100 mph 971 mb
Hurricane
2
Oct 13
21:00 GMT
32.3°
-31.8° 100 mph 971 mb
Hurricane
2
Oct 14
03:00 GMT
33.0°
-30.6° 100 mph 971 mb
Hurricane
2
Oct 14
09:00 GMT
33.9°
-28.6° 100 mph 971 mb
Hurricane
2
Oct 14
15:00 GMT
34.8°
-26.6° 115 mph 960 mb
Hurricane
3


Orphelia will hit Ireland as CAT 1 Hurricane

Image

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world ... 00446.html

Hurricane Ophelia: Ireland issues highest possible 'status red' weather warning
'Mean wind speeds in excess of 80 km/h and gusts in excess of 130km/h are expected'
I have nothing to offer but blood, toil, tears and sweat.

M_B_S
User avatar
M_B_S
Fission
Fission
 
Posts: 3289
Joined: Sat 20 Aug 2005, 02:00:00

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby dohboi » Sat 14 Oct 2017, 13:35:29

Yikes! Hold on to your shamrocks!
User avatar
dohboi
Harmless Drudge
Harmless Drudge
 
Posts: 16836
Joined: Mon 05 Dec 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby dohboi » Wed 18 Oct 2017, 20:54:03

Information packed presentation on hurricanes from arguably the world's top expert in the field, Kerry Emanuel:

2017 Hurricanes a taste of Future


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wWP-Sc8DYh4
User avatar
dohboi
Harmless Drudge
Harmless Drudge
 
Posts: 16836
Joined: Mon 05 Dec 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby Revi » Thu 19 Oct 2017, 10:22:55

Great article from the Scientific American about why Ophelia took that turn toward Ireland. It's a rare hurricane that almost makes it to Ireland.

https://www.scientificamerican.com/arti ... that-dust/
Deep in the mud and slime of things, even there, something sings.
User avatar
Revi
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 6820
Joined: Mon 25 Apr 2005, 02:00:00
Location: Maine

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby Revi » Fri 20 Oct 2017, 11:52:57

We're going to see Geostorm tonight. I think it's timely. It didn't get the best reviews.
Image

https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/geostorm/
Deep in the mud and slime of things, even there, something sings.
User avatar
Revi
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 6820
Joined: Mon 25 Apr 2005, 02:00:00
Location: Maine

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Sun 29 Oct 2017, 10:00:05

Corning Museum of Glass - SECOND floor

EF393838-D0C5-4814-9AC0-25E28CD61DBC.jpeg
EF393838-D0C5-4814-9AC0-25E28CD61DBC.jpeg (172.46 KiB) Viewed 4141 times
User avatar
Newfie
Forum Moderator
Forum Moderator
 
Posts: 9522
Joined: Thu 15 Nov 2007, 03:00:00
Location: US East Coast

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby jedrider » Sun 29 Oct 2017, 14:51:11

It's global, for certain:

The fire brigades said in a tweet that they had responded to 125 emergency calls, with 75 more callouts to follow. “There’s currently a danger in the entire Berlin area due to falling trees and objects. Please be especially careful on this stormy Sunday morning!” the fire service tweeted later in the day.

Earlier, storm Grischa swept across the state of Thuringia. Trees and fences collapsed and roofs were damaged by strong gusts. ‘Grischa’ has also affected railway services, with Deutsche Bahn cancelling services in large parts of central Germany.


5 killed, emergency declared as heavy storm Herwart batters Central Europe
https://www.rt.com/news/408153-storm-herwart-germany-damage/
User avatar
jedrider
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 913
Joined: Thu 28 May 2009, 09:10:44

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 29 Oct 2017, 21:13:03

https://robertscribbler.com/2017/10/28/ ... w-england/

A Bit More Like a Perfect Storm — Hurricane Force Wind Gusts, Record Low Pressure, Potential Record Rainfall on Tap for Northern New England
User avatar
dohboi
Harmless Drudge
Harmless Drudge
 
Posts: 16836
Joined: Mon 05 Dec 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 02 Nov 2017, 10:08:34

MunichRE now saying they will be about flat for the year with about (I think) €3.4 BILLION in losses due to natural disasters.

They are the 5th largest RE, assuming losses are proportionate, reasonable, total losses must exceed €25 BILLION. Not including uninsured losses.

https://www.munichre.com/en/media-relat ... index.html
User avatar
Newfie
Forum Moderator
Forum Moderator
 
Posts: 9522
Joined: Thu 15 Nov 2007, 03:00:00
Location: US East Coast

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Thu 02 Nov 2017, 10:41:02

dohboi wrote:https://robertscribbler.com/2017/10/28/a-bit-more-like-a-perfect-storm-hurricane-force-wind-gusts-record-low-pressure-potential-record-rainfall-on-tap-for-northern-new-england/

A Bit More Like a Perfect Storm — Hurricane Force Wind Gusts, Record Low Pressure, Potential Record Rainfall on Tap for Northern New England

As windy as I have ever seen it but not as destructive as an ice storm we had a decade ago. Forth day without grid power and no crews in sight as I'm in a low priority end of the line location. Statewide numbers falling rapidly 7853 left to go. Wet unfrozen ground and 65 mph winds tipped over whole rows of trees like dominoes some of them two feet threw and eighty feet tall.
Wind gust on Vt's highest peak measured at 105 mph.
User avatar
vtsnowedin
Anti-Matter
Anti-Matter
 
Posts: 8117
Joined: Fri 11 Jul 2008, 02:00:00

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby dohboi » Thu 02 Nov 2017, 13:57:51

Wow! Thanks for following up on this with some ground truth.

"... windy as I have ever seen it..."

And I get the impression that this is really saying something because you've been there a good while, right?

Sad about the trees, glad to hear you're alright, though.

Was that 105 mph wind on the top of the mountain a record?

.....

In other news: Hurricane Harvey to have long term mental health consequences.

http://fortune.com/2017/09/06/hurricane ... lth-risks/

In the long term, the primary public health concern is the mental health of the affected populations, such as Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD), chronic depression and anxiety, and addiction. Mental health issues are often underreported in the immediate aftermath because such symptoms are typically not expressed for weeks, if not months, after a traumatic event.

In the case of Katrina, studies showed that 30% to 50% of all Katrina survivors suffered from PTSD. Note that a study conducted by Columbia University found that 36% of Katrina-affected children showed serious emotional disturbances. In the case of Hurricane Sandy, over 20% of residents reported PTSD, 33% reported depression, and 46% reported anxiety. When groups were compared by the degree of exposure to the hurricane, the higher-exposed group showed 30% more PTSD than the less-exposed group.
User avatar
dohboi
Harmless Drudge
Harmless Drudge
 
Posts: 16836
Joined: Mon 05 Dec 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 02 Nov 2017, 18:17:20

Dug a bit deeper.... JO Morgan sets reinsurance losses at 100 BILLION$

Wipe out most of the excess capital.

Pretty significant for a 3 month period.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.c ... llion.html


"We think industry insured losses from the 3Q hurricanes will approach or exceed $100bn, which should be sufficient to result in higher property insurance and reinsurance prices given it would wipe out most of the industry's excess capital," analyst Sarah DeWitt wrote in a note to clients Thursday.
User avatar
Newfie
Forum Moderator
Forum Moderator
 
Posts: 9522
Joined: Thu 15 Nov 2007, 03:00:00
Location: US East Coast

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Thu 02 Nov 2017, 18:33:43

dohboi wrote:Wow! Thanks for following up on this with some ground truth.

"... windy as I have ever seen it..."

And I get the impression that this is really saying something because you've been there a good while, right?

Sad about the trees, glad to hear you're alright, though.

Was that 105 mph wind on the top of the mountain a record?

The old Vermonter joke is "Have you lived here all your life?'
The answer is "Not yet". I'm 62 so hopefully have a few years left.
My father lived through the hurricane of 1938 on this place. He lost a silo tipped over, a ten acre sugar bush blown flat, and the metal roofing on the house blown off.
As to 105 being a record I doubt it. No wind gauge on the mountain before 1956 when they put a TV transmitter up there. Mt. Washington in New Hampshire to the east has recorded winds above 200 MPH. and you can see one peak from the other.
I'm shuttling my backup generator between three houses daily to keep freezer and fridge contents from spoiling. Working OK but the task is getting old. Power company crews have not yet been assigned to my location so it still might be another day or two.
User avatar
vtsnowedin
Anti-Matter
Anti-Matter
 
Posts: 8117
Joined: Fri 11 Jul 2008, 02:00:00

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby dohboi » Thu 02 Nov 2017, 20:47:31

"I'm shuttling my backup generator between three houses daily to keep freezer and fridge contents from spoiling. Working OK but the task is getting old."

Yeah, sounds like the kind of thing that you are proud that you can do, but then it just gets tiresome to have to do it over and over again.

Probably a good insight into many of our collective futures, though actually few of us will likely be as resourceful as you seem to be here.
User avatar
dohboi
Harmless Drudge
Harmless Drudge
 
Posts: 16836
Joined: Mon 05 Dec 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Thu 02 Nov 2017, 21:12:34

dohboi wrote:"I'm shuttling my backup generator between three houses daily to keep freezer and fridge contents from spoiling. Working OK but the task is getting old."

Yeah, sounds like the kind of thing that you are proud that you can do, but then it just gets tiresome to have to do it over and over again.

Probably a good insight into many of our collective futures, though actually few of us will likely be as resourceful as you seem to be here.

Thinking about it, buying that generator was one of the "preparations" I made after becoming aware of Peak Oil. I've used it several times before but even if it was still new in the box it would have paid for itself in total in the last four days.
User avatar
vtsnowedin
Anti-Matter
Anti-Matter
 
Posts: 8117
Joined: Fri 11 Jul 2008, 02:00:00

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Thu 02 Nov 2017, 22:27:53

dohboi wrote: @ vtsnowedin

Yeah, sounds like the kind of thing that you are proud that you can do, but then it just gets tiresome to have to do it over and over again.

Proud that I can do? Yes I suppose so, but more in line with I'd be embarrassed if I could not do it.I don't want to ever be someone crying about how there is no one from the government that has come to "Help" me.
I don't trust them , I don't expect them to help, and I never want to be in a position where my life depends on them doing their job.
User avatar
vtsnowedin
Anti-Matter
Anti-Matter
 
Posts: 8117
Joined: Fri 11 Jul 2008, 02:00:00

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby Revi » Fri 03 Nov 2017, 08:27:50

It's bad here in Maine also. A lot of people still without power, and the harder places to get to will take a lot more time.
They restored a lot quickly, but there will be places out for a while until all the trees get cut. The same bridge that washed out in 2011 was affected again in Carrabassett Valley. They should have built it back bigger and higher!
Image
Deep in the mud and slime of things, even there, something sings.
User avatar
Revi
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 6820
Joined: Mon 25 Apr 2005, 02:00:00
Location: Maine

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby dohboi » Fri 03 Nov 2017, 16:05:55

"even if it was still new in the box it would have paid for itself in total in the last four days"

Wow!

"I never want to be in a position where my life depends on them doing their job."

But of course you are, pretty much, every day. As are we all, sadly.

Unless you don't use roads, don't breath air, don't depend on food safety standards (or just never buy food), don't and never have taken any drugs that needed to be approved for safety, don't and never have gone to any schools that get any support, nor for that matter any schools whose teachers or administrators have ever gone to them, or their teachers...

Still, it's a good idea to be as resilient and resourceful as possible, and you sure seem to have most of us beat on that front! So congrats.

Meanwhile, back on topic (though this is all kinda on topic):

https://watchers.news/2017/11/03/damrey ... -16-years/

Damrey to slam into southern Vietnam as strongest typhoon in 16 years
User avatar
dohboi
Harmless Drudge
Harmless Drudge
 
Posts: 16836
Joined: Mon 05 Dec 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Fri 03 Nov 2017, 18:09:56

dohboi wrote:"

Unless you don't use roads, don't breath air, don't depend on food safety standards (or just never buy food), don't and never have taken any drugs that needed to be approved for safety, don't and never have gone to any schools that get any support, nor for that matter any schools whose teachers or administrators have ever gone to them, or their teachers...

Still, it's a good idea to be as resilient and resourceful as possible, and you sure seem to have most of us beat on that front! So congrats.
]

My parents and grand parents got along just fine before any of those things were provided by the government and I expect I would as well. As to the roads my father used to pay part of his property taxes by using his team of horses to work with the road crew (other tax payers) to build the roads the town needed. The government doesn't own the air or guarantee it's quality and the quality of the food they ate was determined by themselves not the government. Going to school is not a matter of life or death and the current government controlled system is not doing a better job then the one room school houses my parents attended. As to the drugs if there were none of them good or bad would my life expectancy change all that much and of course in the end I will be dead and the drug companies will have made a tidy profit dragging my suffering out a few more days or weeks.
Government that is doing their job is nice and worth the tax dollars needed to support it but it often fails to do it's job and in that event you need to be able to get along without it.
User avatar
vtsnowedin
Anti-Matter
Anti-Matter
 
Posts: 8117
Joined: Fri 11 Jul 2008, 02:00:00

Re: Cyclone/Hurricane/Typhoon Season 2017 Pt. 2

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Fri 03 Nov 2017, 18:58:14

Electricity back on here at 3:30 PM so a four day outage. Dealing with it has been a pain in the A$$ so to the people of Puerto Rico I can do a Bill Clinton and say "I feel your pain" but know my problem was less then a hundredth of theirs.
Ataboys to the local line crews as they have done a tremendous amount of work round the clock for days and are still working on the last few outliers.
Medal of merit to the Honda generator that let me keep six freezers cold enough to save all the food in them.
User avatar
vtsnowedin
Anti-Matter
Anti-Matter
 
Posts: 8117
Joined: Fri 11 Jul 2008, 02:00:00

PreviousNext

Return to Environment, Weather & Climate

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 9 guests