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Peakoil.com :: View topic - NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices
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NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices
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TheDude
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 12:21 am    Post subject: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Home Energy Prices Are Expected to Soar

Quote:
“The market has been completely turned on its head this summer,” said Andrew Heaney, who runs a New York heating oil cooperative, Heat USA. “I’ve been in this business for 15 years, and this is the most volatile we’ve ever seen.”

A recent editorial in a small-town Vermont newspaper warned of calamity. Record heating oil prices “could be New England’s own Katrina disaster,” wrote The Stowe Reporter.

“The cost of energy is getting out of reach,” said Mark Wolfe, the executive director of the National Energy Assistance Directors’ Association, which represents state programs offering help to poor households.

“It’s not just going to affect poor people, but also moderate to middle-class households. People are going to become more impoverished to pay for heating this winter.”

Heating oil retailers face another problem. Given the nation’s credit crisis, many say they are finding it hard this year to get new credit lines from banks to help them cope with the rise in prices. As a result, they are not building inventory as much as they would in a normal year, Mr. Gilligan said. “The cost of hedging has become very pricey,” he said.

“People are going to have a tough time,” said David Moody, the dispatcher and a driver at Flynn’s Oil Company, a small distributor in Exeter, N.H. “We are trying to avoid having angry customers. Having angry customers before the start of winter, well, that’s not good business.”

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Plantagenet
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 1:01 am    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Obama's energy plan will help.... he will give every family $1000 to help with the high energy costs.
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mos6507
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 1:44 am    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Yep, I'm expecting to blow a lot of my savings from living with my parents on subsidizing their heating bill this winter. After this next year, they are on their own and I'm off to homestead-land. If they don't fix this place up and sell it, it's their white elephant.
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cube
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 2:06 am    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Plantagenet wrote:
Obama's energy plan will help.... he will give every family $1000 to help with the high energy costs.
do I smell a little bit of pandering going on here?
It is my observation that ALL the "energy plans" that were ever proposed have one thing in common, the assumption that the good times will keep on rolling.
Actually there was Jimmy Carter who told the truth by using words like "sacrifice, unpopular, inconvenience" first 2 minutes
//
If the government pays my energy bill, that just means a part of my money that normally would of gone to energy can now instead be used to buy beer, porn, and cigarettes. Smile
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nobodypanic
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 2:39 am    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

cube wrote:
Plantagenet wrote:
Obama's energy plan will help.... he will give every family $1000 to help with the high energy costs.
do I smell a little bit of pandering going on here?
It is my observation that ALL the "energy plans" that were ever proposed have one thing in common, the assumption that the good times will keep on rolling.
Actually there was Jimmy Carter who told the truth by using words like "sacrifice, unpopular, inconvenience" first 2 minutes
//
If the government pays my energy bill, that just means a part of my money that normally would of gone to energy can now instead be used to buy beer, porn, and cigarettes. FOOD and GAS. Smile

fixed that for you....
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idiom
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 2:44 am    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Although Beer and Gas are slowly converging...
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Plantagenet
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 9:48 am    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

The Alaska state legislature just voted to give every person in Alaska $1200 to help with higher energy costs here, and Obama is promising to give $1000 to every "working family" in America if they vote for him and he wins....

How long will it take for the states in New England to come up with some cash to give to their people to help with their high heating bills?
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midnight-gamer
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 10:03 am    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Heating cost is often talked about here. Surely, there will be a crises soon.

Last edited by midnight-gamer on Wed Aug 13, 2008 9:19 am; edited 2 times in total
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mos6507
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 3:18 pm    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

cube wrote:

do I smell a little bit of pandering going on here?
It is my observation that ALL the "energy plans" that were ever proposed have one thing in common, the assumption that the good times will keep on rolling.


Obama's most recent speech is pretty f-n sober, and not that far off from Carter's 1970s speech. He's offering a short-term gimme because it's political suicide not to, but he also is warning people that change is gonna come and it won't be without necessary sacrifices.
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mos6507
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 08, 2008 3:22 pm    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Plantagenet wrote:

How long will it take for the states in New England to come up with some cash to give to their people to help with their high heating bills?


Already happening.

http://news.mainetoday.com/updates/031075.html
http://www.acf.hhs.gov/programs/ocs/liheap/
http://www.massresources.org/pages.cfm?contentID=36&pageID=14&Subpages=yes

The problem is that heating bills will drag the middle class, which is NOT eligible for emergency programs like this, down to the poverty line.
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 9:25 am    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

mos6507 wrote:

Obama's most recent speech is pretty f-n sober, and not that far off from Carter's 1970s speech. He's offering a short-term gimme because it's political suicide not to, but he also is warning people that change is gonna come and it won't be without necessary sacrifices.


MMM tasty sacrifice Laughing
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 9:28 am    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Rural California is a slow-motion disaster playing out right now. The fires still burn across the state and people are living in a smoky cloud with asthma etc. It will be a scandal but not yet.
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 10:29 am    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

I'm already committed to $1000 to keep my blue haired mother warm this coming winter.

As far as the gubment handouts, they spell disaster for democracy as the people learn they can simply write themselves a largess from the public treasury.
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Tyler_JC
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 10:56 am    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Even a $1,000 check would still mean that we're paying more for heating this winter than last.



Thank God for the recent crash in heating oil prices.

If we had to pay June prices in January...millions of people would be sleeping in front of space heaters.

We're still up more than 60% since this time last year. Shocked
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ROCKMAN
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2008 2:25 pm    Post subject: Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices Add User to Ignore List Reply with quote

Tyler,

For your sake and all my Yankee cousins I hope you're correct in your expectations for Jan FO prices. Right now a 3 month running average would project prices above $4/gal in Jan 2009. Not that all trend lines run for ever. Supply/demand and temperature will ultimately determine if the trend line holds.
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