We cannot drill our way out of this oil crisis. Since 2000, oil companies working in the U.S. have doubled the number of wells drilled per year.
Although increased drilling has added new oil to the nation's supply, it has not done so fast enough to offset the terminal decline of existing fields.
We are going to have to import more of our oil. Period.
Joined: Oct 23, 2004 Posts: 5060 Location: New Jersey
Posted: Sat Oct 20, 2007 10:03 am Post subject: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
Some interesting conclusions in this report, although no bug surprises for regular PO.com readers.
Quote:
Non-OPEC Oil Production
Author: Toni Johnson, Staff Writer
October 19, 2007
Oil producers operating outside the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) are responsible for producing 60 percent of the world’s oil and face increasing production hurdles. Experts say many of the non-OPEC producers have older, less productive wells, rising costs for new projects, and in some cases rising demand at home that may cut into exports.
Many non-OPEC producers are faced with wells that are quickly depleting. Some major producers, such as the United States, Mexico, and Norway, have experienced a decline in production in recent years. However, overall numbers for non-OPEC producers are bolstered by the significant increases in production from Brazil, Canada, Russia, and a few other former Soviet states. A June 2007 BP report on world energy shows that production among the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development nations, which include four top independent producers—Canada, Norway, the United States, and Mexico—dropped by about two million bpd in the last decade. Meanwhile, the former Soviet states increased production by more than 40 percent over that same time period.
Declines in Production
Once one of the fifteen-largest oil producers, Britain experienced a production decline of 10 percent in 2005, the largest (Independent) of any oil producer for the year. Although production will be bolstered by new wells in the North Sea’s Buzzard Field, Britain’s overall production is expected to continue to decline, experts say. Overall production in the North Sea, which includes that of Norway, also is expected to decline in coming years. Norwegian production fell by about 570,000 bpd from 2000 to 2006. Mexico, a major exporter to the United States, experienced about a 300,000 bpd decrease in production during the same time period. The percentage of exports out of Mexico's oil production rose slightly from 41 percent in 2000 to 45 percent in 2006, but there are doubts Mexico can sustain the current level of exports much longer.
D. Barry McKennitt, executive director of the U.S. National Association of Petroleum Investment Analysts, questions Mexico’s ability to continue to export, noting that with domestic consumption going up and production going down, “They may not be able to export to anyone in five years.” For the period of 2000 through 2006, the EIA puts U.S. production declines at about 700,000 bpd; the BP report (PDF) estimates those declines to be closer to 900,000 bpd. The EIA includes gains in refining volume while the BP report does not.
more at link
Council on Foreign Relations _________________ It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
Posted: Sat Oct 20, 2007 1:34 pm Post subject: Re: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
And what do we know about the CFR?
How about this: "Psycho-political operations are propaganda campaigns used by the CFR and the Bilderberg Club designed to create perpetual tensions and manipulate various groups of people to accept the particular opinion these institutions wish to imprint upon the world. " (The Human Dimension; Experiences in Policy Research by Hadley Cantril published by the Rutgers University press in 1967
Therefore what the majority feel to be 'public opinion' is in effect carefully orchestrated propaganda, designed to provoke a certain reaction. I am not saying therefore, that we should doubt Peak Oil as a geological certainty. But we should at the least research our information as much as possible, as it is highly likely we are being duped with the intention of reaching a certain outcome: collapse of society, economic collapse and collapse of civilisation as we know it.
This outcome would help speed along the ultimate aims of the CFR and it's sister groups, all founded and lead by the same 'elite' responsible for the Stock Exchange, Banking, arms and weapon technology, and pretty much life as we know it so far. This ultimate goal is to secure control of world markets for their private benefit, at the expense of the common man who is being carefully prepared for a life of utter serfdom. Obviously population reduction will ease the process.
The CFR are an extremely secretive organisation, beholden to no government body, as they clearly state that not a single member of the Council can be held responsible for their declarations. The CFR practically controlls every organisation and institution of American government. All of the so-called checks and balances designed to ensure government function, are under their control. All of the past presidents of the US have either been members of the CFR or it's associated secret club; the Bilderberg, or the Trilateral Commission, regardless of their party affiliations. Significant members of past administrations have aloso, all been members of these elite organisations.
Most of the members of the CFR share the ideology of One World Government, more recently changed to the cozy term 'globalisation'. The extent and depth of their influence is staggering, and involves crafty psy-ops we can hardly suspect. I suggest you read up on it, since they are about to relieve you of your ability to think for yourself (the official web site is only too pleased to present the presentable side, one we all swallow happily oblivious to the ulterior motives, try elsewhere for the sinister reality.)
Posted: Sat Oct 20, 2007 5:09 pm Post subject: Re: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
Think it is rather a leap to that partiular paranoid conspiracy theory of a one-world govenment sponsored by the CFR. Think what the article actually indicates is that the balance of power will be shifting from Europe and the US, to Canada and the former USSR republics within the OECD.
Posted: Thu Apr 17, 2008 4:47 pm Post subject: Re: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
virgincrude wrote:
There you go: one world government, one world currency (hence the current Dollar problems) one world army, one world police, one world religion.
Aaah the comfort and joy spread wide and thick. Whether you like it or not.
Grab your copy of "1984" before it's banned (or burned.)
And I bet $1000 that it won't happen. They could've done it right after WW2 when America was at its peak of power but they didn't. Now, we hardly have enough energy to power those SUVs, let alone having enough energy to invade every single country, rule the world, and enforce their policies effectively around the giant globe.
NWO conspiracy theories are a joke and great for entertainment but other than that, it's a pile of horse manure.
Posted: Thu Apr 17, 2008 7:55 pm Post subject: Re: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
virgincrude wrote:
There you go: one world government, one world currency (hence the current Dollar problems) one world army, one world police, one world religion.
Aaah the comfort and joy spread wide and thick. Whether you like it or not.
Forgot the one world airline! _________________ Just look at us. Everything is backwards; everything is upside down. Doctors destory health, lawyers destroy justice, universities destroy knowledge, governments destroy freedom, the major media destroy information and religions destroy spirituality.
Posted: Thu Apr 17, 2008 9:24 pm Post subject: Re: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
virgincrude wrote:
There you go: one world government, one world currency (hence the current Dollar problems) one world army, one world police, one world religion.
Aaah the comfort and joy spread wide and thick. Whether you like it or not.
Grab your copy of "1984" before it's banned (or burned.)
The dollar is falling because the Federal Reserve is cutting rates, not because of a one world currency. You need nothing else but faith to believe in these conspiracy theories. There's literally no more evidence to these theories than the claim that Jesus can walk on water.
And best of all, you get personally attacked when criticizing these theories. That should tell you a lot that these theorists are really not desiring the truth but desiring to stay in this conspiracy cult.
Joined: Apr 27, 2007 Posts: 4025 Location: The Great Sonoran Desert
Posted: Thu Apr 17, 2008 9:40 pm Post subject: Re: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
funzone36 wrote:
And I bet $1000 that it won't happen.
Define your terms.
I believe the royal elite are currently attempting to merge all global states.
The Real ID card comes out next month.
Define this bet more clearly and I may take you up on it. _________________ "There must be a bogeyman; there always is, and it cannot be something as esoteric as "resource depletion." You can't go to war with that." Emersonbiggins
"... hope is a rotten-thighed whore" Niko Kazantzakis
Posted: Fri Apr 18, 2008 2:53 am Post subject: Re: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
funzone, I'm not in to personally attacking anyone who doesn't think (not the same as believe, by the way) this whole crisis is NOT pre-programmed. In fact, it's always those with alternative views to the mainstream who are personally attacked for their thinking.
It's always easy to find back up for whatever views you find more likely. So, recently, I've been finding a frightening amount from unusual sources, which back up the 'conspiracy' theory. Sources I turn to, to AVOID strengthening the likelihood that my 'conspiracy theory' is unfounded, and lacks evidence.
"One thing experience has taught is that every notable market crash, panic, bear market or financial crisis is the result of careful planning and forethought by the monetary authorities. With trillions of dollars at stake, nothing happens without their tacit or explicit approval and there is simply no such thing as a crisis that happens by “coincidence.” For happenstance to be allowed to run its course in with trillions in derivates out there would be certain death for the financial system. As the economist Dr. Stuart Crane was fond of saying, “Things [in the monetary world] don’t just happen to happen. They happen because they were planned to happen.”
And I bet $1000 that it won't happen. They could've done it right after WW2 when America was at its peak of power but they didn't. Now, we hardly have enough energy to power those SUVs, let alone having enough energy to invade every single country, rule the world, and enforce their policies effectively around the giant globe.
Why would they have tried destroying the US after WWII, when it was precisely, as you say, at the peak of power? The destruction of the US/global economy is a long slow process, involving psycho-social preparation which the corporate owned media have been carrying out very well. Destroying the middle class has nothing to do with the US military capabilities and the theory is not that the US shall rule the world, but the corporate owned UN. Watch the global strategic moves carried out by NATO and so-called UN 'peace keepers': these are INTERNATIONAL armies (ubiquitously 'led by the US'). The occupation of Afghanistan is a small example: every day, Dutch, Canadian, and British troops lay down their lives for ... well, it seems for the global narcotics trade. It is only in Iraq where US forces are bleeding to death. everywhere else, the US led 'coalitions' persuade International forces to do their bidding. Why is the US military so bloated? because as the country folds, it shall be in a perfect position to establish itself under a new name: Global peace Keeping forces or some such, under United Nations flags.
I get no joy from airing these views. But since they seem likely to be well-founded, I think it is better to spread the word and let those who agree take up the argument as this is really the ONLY way we stand a chance of buggering the designs.
Posted: Fri Apr 18, 2008 4:04 pm Post subject: Re: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
roccman. Basically, if a world government is established then I'll you $1000 but if it doesn't, then you give me $1000. A Real ID card does not mean that a world government will take place. The new card is not totally new except the biometric system. It is just a new card that makes it easier for the national government to identify its citizens so that it is more convenient for the user and it makes false identification harder to occur. The US government always had your personal information from your passport to your social security card to your credit cards. Although I agree that it won't stop terrorism, at least it can decrease the chances of terrorism. You can't argue that it takes away freedom of privacy since we (all countries) never ever had full freedom of privacy anyway.
virgincrude, I perfectly agree that a lot of market crashes are indeed planned but we can't do anything about it. Economic crashes is part of the economic cycle and under normal circumstances, an economy will recover from economic crashes. Economic crashes is not something new. It's a concept as old as economics. It happened in numerous other countries in history including the Roman Empire. Assuming no nuclear warfare, civilization will exist after peak oil but in a less industrialized manner. Just because market crashes are planned is no proof for one world government. If the world economy crashes then political institutions like UN and NATO will have a hard time conducting their operations because of insufficient funding. Allied armies is not a new concept. Many countries in history were allied together and combined their armies and fought together. I do not take away the possibility that Afghanistan was for narcotics trade but it was also for destroying the Taliban as well. And no, don't bring up 9/11 conspiracy theories or else I'll have to bring up Popular Mechanics. It's interesting to note that France and Germany largely did not support the invasion of Iraq. If you ask me, I'd say the UN's armed forces is hardly advanced enough and peak oil will further deteriorate military technology.
Joined: Apr 27, 2007 Posts: 4025 Location: The Great Sonoran Desert
Posted: Fri Apr 18, 2008 4:58 pm Post subject: Re: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
funzone36 wrote:
roccman. Basically, if a world government is established then I'll you $1000 but if it doesn't, then you give me $1000. .
Well I believe the Royal Elite will try and fail because of the lack of energy to chip and control the world population.
They will try and are trying now.
In as much as they will fail is not relevant. _________________ "There must be a bogeyman; there always is, and it cannot be something as esoteric as "resource depletion." You can't go to war with that." Emersonbiggins
"... hope is a rotten-thighed whore" Niko Kazantzakis
Posted: Fri Apr 18, 2008 5:23 pm Post subject: Re: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
Exactly. Such a concept of world government will fail. Though, I'd like you to describe who these Royal Elites are. It is no surprise to me that powerful people wants more power but I find a lack of full cooperation between powerful people. Oh and government control of the populace is not a new concept at all. It already happened.
Posted: Sat Apr 19, 2008 5:51 am Post subject: Re: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
funzone, I wish I could agree with you, it all makes perfect sense. If it were just as you say. However, nothing is as clear cut. As you say, there is also a lot of disagreement between TPTB and there is no evident hierarchical structure. Those that hold the power (bankers), set the agenda. The idea of a One World Government is of course, on the face of it, pretty unlikely seeing how chaotically most existing gocernments work today. But take a look at the current European Union and its new pseudo-Constitution. The Euro zone is a blueprint for the rest of the world: zone-wide laws which SUPERCEDE local, state laws. Citizens haven't noticed yet, because those laws are governing stuff like money exchange, agriculture and trade, not the daily stuff such as where and how much it'll cost you to park your car in town.
Your concept of the One World Government, your view of economics and politics is too narrow and governed by the mainstream, acknowledged and 'official' order of things for you to entertain the possibility that all is not as it seems. Just because we have seen empires crumble before, and watched economies collapse, does not mean it is all going to turn out like before. To see it all from the perspective of our existing economic set up, is to not see it at all. The UN is slowly gaining more strength, and usefull muscle, it is the prototype world government. Running out of funds? There are too many easy ways to get around this problem: ennable an international, mandatory tax system, a world tax which has been discussed and planned at very high levels, as they say, (aka the carbon emissions tax) and implement money-less financing. Call it slave labour.
Under a UN-like World Government, each individual state leader (elected in such free and fair elections as practiced by G.W. Bush i.e controlled circumstances) shall be subservient to the U.N's impenetrable burocracy of secretaries and 'government' bodies in a seemingly unwealdy leaden-footed series of treaties and agreements, alliances and joint-ventures (Cf European Union today.)
The UN as an army, is of course, a joke, but the UN forces currently deployed around the world, are a hotch-potch drawn from the standing armies of individual countries. Most of which are well trained and very well armed, and shooting under the orders of United States commanders, in the name of the UN- or incipient One World Government.
Of course, I don't have the answer to all your questions about the viability of this conspiracy notion or the next. It is a far more complex subject than simply reducing it to the 'One World Government Conspiracy'. But I find that dismissing such theories out of hand, with standard arguments and media-influenced explanations, is only going to reinforce your standard perception rather than open you to an alternative possibility.
Joined: Apr 27, 2007 Posts: 4025 Location: The Great Sonoran Desert
Posted: Sat Apr 19, 2008 8:03 am Post subject: Re: CFR: Non-OPEC Producers Facing Production Hurdles
funzone36 wrote:
Exactly. Such a concept of world government will fail. Though, I'd like you to describe who these Royal Elites are. It is no surprise to me that powerful people wants more power but I find a lack of full cooperation between powerful people. Oh and government control of the populace is not a new concept at all. It already happened.
These Family Dynasties dominate the world:
The Astor Family
The Bundy Family
The Collins Family
The DuPont Family
The Freeman Family
The Kennedy Family
The Li Family
The Onassis Family
The Reynolds Family
The Rockerfeller Family
The Rothscilds Family
The Russell Family
The Van Duyn Family
Merovingian European Royal Families
The Disney Family
The Krupp Family
The following eight family banks were named as the
owners of the US Federal Reserve :
Rothschild Banks of London and Berlin
Lazares Brothers Banks of Paris
Israel Moses Seif Bank of Italy
Warburg Bank of Hamburg and Amsterdam
Lehman Brothers Bank of New York
Chase Manhattan Bank of New York
Kuhn, Loeb Bank of New York
Goldman, Sachs Bank of New York. _________________ "There must be a bogeyman; there always is, and it cannot be something as esoteric as "resource depletion." You can't go to war with that." Emersonbiggins
"... hope is a rotten-thighed whore" Niko Kazantzakis
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