I think this is the beginnings of an economy based on perpetual growth and fossil fuel energy running headlong into geological energy constraints. Basically I see an undulatory downward path for the rest of my life. From here out, I think any rallies in our economic condition are going to be met with spiking commodity prices that knock us right back down.
New research calls into question the linkage between major Atlantic hurricanes and global warming. That is one of the conclusions from a University of Virginia study to appear in the May 10, 2006 issue of the journal Geophysical Research Letters...
Posted: Tue May 16, 2006 4:59 pm Post subject: Re: Dr. Gray's updated hurricane forecast
ShawnAvery wrote:
The upcoming season could well get worse, admittedly. Have you considered that the speculation regarding hurricanes, cyclones, and extreme earthen events have been UNDERESTIMATED? come on now.. look at this from an investigative perspective. theres a cyclone pelting hong kong (probably at this moment, actually), a volcano erupting in indonesia, and intensive flooding going on in new england.
i dont think the season is 'fizzling.' i think humanity is a disease on our beautiful breathing living earth, and climate change is her immune system kicking in. shes getting a fever, and unless we start behaving like a companion rather than a virus she will wipe her ass with us with no second thought.
Yes, OF COURSE, I've considered GW may make things
like hurricanes worse.
Look, I feel that GW is likely a fact, and it may be
one of the biggest problems we'll have to face long
term. I've been following the weather and reading the
tea leaves via satellite imagery long before it became
fashionable.
I was just trying to point out that predictions like
Dr. Grays aren't worth much. Global climate system
is too complex to be modelled or predicted with much
accuracy.
There's another thread in the group which links to
a Nova you can watch. It discusses the phenomenon of
'global dimming' which was overlooked until recently,
and may be counteracting the effects of GW, and resulting
in less rains for regions that really depend on them.
This is just one example of why it's so hard to predict
things like weather and climate long term.
We'll see how this hurricane season plays out in the
Gulf, but I'd say it will take a least five years
before we can say with certainty whether (bad pun
intended) last years torrid 'cane season was the start
of a trend or just a freak occurance.
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