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Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 747 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 46, 47, 48, 49, 50  Next

Is a debt-based monetary system compatible with oil depletion?
Yes 16%  16%  [ 39 ]
No 84%  84%  [ 202 ]
Total votes : 241
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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Thu May 10, 2007 12:46 pm 
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nero wrote:
MonteQuest,

What I described is a simplified version of what the Fed is saying. They are talking in accounting terms where a demand deposit is defined as money and where of course the deposit account doesn't change when the asset and liability are added to the books. I was trying to avoid complicating it but preserve the essence.

What I was saying isn't in conflict with what the FED is saying, I'm just talking more colloquially.


I disagree. The following paragraph leads the reader to infer that the depositor's money has been lent out in a loan.

Quote:
There is money that is created by commercial banks when they grant credit to an indivdual. This expands the money supply because the bank doesn't tell the depositor that their money isn't really in the bank anymore.


Bank loans are not the result of lending other depositor's money out. Bank deposits are only used in a loan to provide the FED reserve requirement of 10% and limit the amount of money that can be created, above and beyond the bank's actual deposits.

The depositor's money is still in the bank and is never lent out. You cannot expand the money supply if you just re-lend out money already created, as the FED notes in the paragraph I quoted.

Most people think banks lend out the money deposited therein; they do not.

They lend out money they create based upon the rules of fractional reserve banking.

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Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.


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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Thu May 10, 2007 5:58 pm 
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MonteQuest wrote:
Bank loans are not the result of lending other depositor's money out. Bank deposits are only used in a loan to provide the FED reserve requirement of 10% and limit the amount of money that can be created, above and beyond the bank's actual deposits.



I'm sorry to say Montequest that this sounds like you have a profound misunderstanding of how fractional reserve banking works. The only way I can interpret the above passage is to mean that the deposits in checking accounts are equivalent to the bank's reserves. This is just not how it works.

The deposits of an individual bank do not limit their lending power. their lending power is limited by their excess reserves. For a $10,000 deposit assuming 10% reserve requirement $9000 is excess reserves that may be lent out. when it is lent out, more likely than not the borrower does not take it in cash. if he did there would be no net creation of money. Instead the borrower has it credited to his account in the bank increasing the amount of deposits in the bank. This deposit is new money created by the fractional reserve banking system.

This has been explained many times before in this thread, what is more, it is essentially what the Fed was saying in the passage that you took your excerpt from:

The Fed, Modern Money Mechanics wrote:
However, they are not required to keep $10,000 of reserves against the $10,000 of deposits. All they need to retain, under a 10 percent reserve requirement, is $1000. The remaining $9,000 is "excess reserves." This amount can be loaned or invested. See illustration 2.

If business is active, the banks with excess reserves probably will have opportunities to loan the $9,000. Of course, they do not really pay out loans from the money they receive as deposits. If they did this, no additional money would be created. What they do when they make loans is to accept promissory notes in exchange for credits to the borrowers' transaction accounts. Loans (assets) and deposits (liabilities) both rise by $9,000. Reserves are unchanged by the loan transactions. But the deposit credits constitute new additions to the total deposits of the banking system. See illustration 3.

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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Thu May 10, 2007 8:20 pm 
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nero wrote:
I'm sorry to say Montequest that this sounds like you have a profound misunderstanding of how fractional reserve banking works. The only way I can interpret the above passage is to mean that the deposits in checking accounts are equivalent to the bank's reserves. This is just not how it works.


No, I didn't mean that. I meant what you just wrote. The $9000 is excess reserves that sets the limit of how much new money can be created from a $10,000 deposit with 10% reserve requirement.

The $10,000 deposit stays where it is and $9000 of new money is created to loan.

As...

Quote:
Of course, they do not really pay out loans from the money they receive as deposits. If they did this, no additional money would be created.

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Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.


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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Thu May 10, 2007 9:14 pm 
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MonteQuest wrote:

All the fiat debt-based money in the world is owed to someone, save the coins in your pocket.

All fiat debt-based money comes into existance through loans.

All fiat debt-based money is an IOU.

If you have $100 in the bank, someone has a loan out on it or it wouldn't exist.

No loans = shrinking money supply, as the existing outstanding debt principal is retired. Repaid loan money disappears upon retiring of the debt.


If tomorrow Capitol Hill is blown up, the Internet is gone, all bank records are erased and all banks closed, the coins left in people's pockets will still allow a functioning monetary system. The only way the money supply would shrink from there is if someone burnt his banknotes.

Money printed by a previous government often continue to circulate in this way after the collapse of the government, before a new government steps in and issues an accepted new currency.

Heck, if you can imagine that every dollar in the bank is to be backed up by real banknotes, all the problems you are imagining now wouldn't exist.

The $100 I put in the bank was originally a $100 note. The bank didn't burn it.

When the bank loans $1,000,000 to somebody, it prints $1,000,000 in banknotes--even if that somebody just credits the money to a bank account.

And so on. The reality is not so different: all deposits and accounts carry with them to promise to physicalize the money in banknotes if you so desire. If you ask for a cash withdrawal from your bank account, the only two reasons the bank may not be able to give it to you are
1. it has run out of reserves
2. it has run out of banknotes (in which case it can just print more)

Can you point out a point in the money cycle where, if the money were physicalized in banknotes, one would require the money to be burnt? If not, you have failed to prove that the money would 'disappear'.


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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Thu May 10, 2007 9:32 pm 
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MQ wrote:
No, I didn't mean that. I meant what you just wrote. The $9000 is excess reserves that sets the limit of how much new money can be created from a $10,000 deposit with 10% reserve requirement.


phew, good.

Quote:
The $10,000 deposit stays where it is and $9000 of new money is created to loan.


The excess reserves stay where they are until the borrower draws on their line of credit to purchase something. When the borrower takes money out of the bank, the bank's reserves decrease. The original deposit then is just a number in a ledger that is accepted as money and is backed by a fraction of the original deposit and by the banks promise to pay the full amount back on demand.

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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Thu May 10, 2007 10:32 pm 
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Joe0Bloggs wrote:
If tomorrow Capitol Hill is blown up, the Internet is gone, all bank records are erased and all banks closed, the coins left in people's pockets will still allow a functioning monetary system. The only way the money supply would shrink from there is if someone burnt his banknotes.


You are showing an extreme lack of knowledge of how our money system works. As the principal on a loan is repaid, the money disappears back into the thin air from which it was created.

If everyone paid their debts, no paper fiat money would exist without new loans being made.

And if we just had coins left, the deflation would be horrendous with all those goods chasing so few dollars.

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Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.


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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Thu May 10, 2007 10:40 pm 
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Joe0Bloggs wrote:
Can you point out a point in the money cycle where, if the money were physicalized in banknotes, one would require the money to be burnt? If not, you have failed to prove that the money would 'disappear'.


Not talking about "physical" money. When you pay your loan payment, the principal amount is subtracted from a ledger entry and is no longer in existance.

Loaned money only exists while it is owed.

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Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.


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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Thu May 10, 2007 10:55 pm 
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MonteQuest wrote:
Joe0Bloggs wrote:
Can you point out a point in the money cycle where, if the money were physicalized in banknotes, one would require the money to be burnt? If not, you have failed to prove that the money would 'disappear'.


Not talking about "physical" money. When you pay your loan payment, the principal amount is subtracted from a ledger entry and is no longer in existance.


What, and the bank's reserve does not increase as a result of the payback?

Quote:
Loaned money only exists while it is owed.


Why do you insist on talking about non-physical money, when the electronic banking systems may well collapse post-peak?

What if I pay my loan in cash?


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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Fri May 11, 2007 7:25 am 
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Joe,

When MQ talks about the hypothetical case where all the loans are repaid. That includes all the government debt held by the central bank. If the government bought back the ir security with cash the cash would return to the central bank at which point it is no longer in circulation and would not be considered money. The central bank might indeed burn the cash if they wanted to.

Of course there is no reason on God's green earth why the government would ever completely pay off their debts held by the central bank.

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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Fri May 11, 2007 8:35 am 
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Joe0Bloggs wrote:
MonteQuest wrote:
Joe0Bloggs wrote:
Can you point out a point in the money cycle where, if the money were physicalized in banknotes, one would require the money to be burnt? If not, you have failed to prove that the money would 'disappear'.


Not talking about "physical" money. When you pay your loan payment, the principal amount is subtracted from a ledger entry and is no longer in existance.


What, and the bank's reserve does not increase as a result of the payback?


Joe, even banks can’t be allowed to create money out of thin air and then simply keep it.

As loan principal is paid off, that money disappears from circulation.

To put that amount of money back into circulation, a new loan must be taken out.

As the interest paid comes from money already in circulation, this means that the economy has to grow if the ratio of the money supply to the volume of exchange is to stay constant. The required increase in sales value can come about in either, or both, of two ways: inflation and expansion.

Since, in a post-peakoil world, the economy may not expand, it will have to inflate as nero points out.

This analysis means that, due to the way money is put into circulation, we have an economic system that needs to grow or inflate constantly.

As Hubbert noted:

Quote:
Finally, the maintenance of a constant price level in a non-growing industrial system implies either an interest rate of zero or continuous inflation.


This is the fundamental reason why a debt-based money system is incompatible with hydrocarbon depletion.

The economic growth required for a stable debt-based money system will not be achievable, while the demand for repayment of trillions of dollars of already incurred debt will not cease.

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Live in Arizona? Check out: http://sustainablearizona.org and read my blog.


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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Fri May 11, 2007 2:26 pm 
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MQ wrote:
Not talking about "physical" money. When you pay your loan payment, the principal amount is subtracted from a ledger entry and is no longer in existance.

Joe0Bloggs wrote:

What, and the bank's reserve does not increase as a result of the payback?



JB's question brought up a good point. The banking definition of money (m1) doesn't count the reserves held in banks. In other words when you do pay off your loan in cash, you are indeed destroying money, because when the cash reenters the bank's vault it is no longer considered money!

The Fed wrote:
M1 consists of currency in circulation outside of the Treasury, Federal Reserve
Banks, and depository institutions; travelers checks; demand deposits at all
commercial banks other than those due to depository institutions, the U.S.
government, and foreign banks and official institutions, less cash items in the
process of collection and Federal Reserve float; other checkable deposits (OCD),
including negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service
(ATS) accounts at depository institutions; credit union share draft accounts; and
demand deposits at thrift institutions.


The layman's definition of money is much closer to the monetary base. The monetary base does count the currency held in the bank vault as well as that held by individuals but it doesn't count demand deposits in banks. You have to count one or the other but not both.

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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Fri May 11, 2007 3:23 pm 
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Nero, I think you just contradicted yourself. Earlier you said:
Quote:
The deposits of an individual bank do not limit their lending power. their lending power is limited by their excess reserves. For a $10,000 deposit assuming 10% reserve requirement $9000 is excess reserves that may be lent out. when it is lent out, more likely than not the borrower does not take it in cash. if he did there would be no net creation of money. Instead the borrower has it credited to his account in the bank increasing the amount of deposits in the bank.

Your last post said:
Quote:
In other words when you do pay off your loan in cash, you are indeed destroying money, because when the cash reenters the bank's vault it is no longer considered money!

The contradictory implication being that if you take a loan in cash form, you are not creating money, but that when you repay a loan with cash, you are destroying money. Both cannot be true.


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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Fri May 11, 2007 3:29 pm 
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If I take a loan out in cash form, money is being created.

If X deposits $1000 with Bank A, $100 are kept as reserve, $900 are considered excess loanable reserves.

I then borrow $900 from Bank A, and ask for it in cash.

I now have $900 in cash to spend. X still has a bank deposit of $1000.

M1 has increased by $900.

This resolves the seeming contradiction. It is irrelevant that Bank A has just lost $900 of reserves. As Nero pointed out, bank reserves are not considered part of M1, because to do so would be to double count a bank asset (reserve) and a bank liability (the deposit backed by this reserve).


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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Fri May 11, 2007 8:16 pm 
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CrudeAwakening wrote:
If I take a loan out in cash form, money is being created.


You are confusing the "medium" of exchange with the creation of money.

When you take out a loan, new money (dollar bills) that already exist, are put into circulation.

New money is created whether it sits in the bank or you take it out in cash.

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 Post subject: Re: Our Money System and Oil Depletion; Are they Compatible?
New postPosted: Fri May 11, 2007 9:23 pm 
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MonteQuest wrote:
CrudeAwakening wrote:
If I take a loan out in cash form, money is being created.

You are confusing the "medium" of exchange with the creation of money.

Maybe I'm being sloppy with my language. I didn't mean that new dollar bills were created, rather that the money supply (as defined by M1) is increasing.
Quote:
New money is created whether it sits in the bank or you take it out in cash.

Yes, that's exactly what I was trying to say.


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