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 Post subject: Re: HRE deal failing! We are at critical mass!
New postPosted: Sun Oct 05, 2008 2:12 pm 
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Peak Oil Prophet
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Joined: Fri Apr 27, 2007 12:00 am
Posts: 4136
Location: The Great Sonoran Desert
Gebari wrote:
Does anyone else have a really bad feeling about next week?


It's coming up roses...ask Pops.

Nothing to worry about...small bump in the road.

Really...leave your money in your bank, pay all your bills on time, and take a vacation at least twice a year.

_________________
"There must be a bogeyman; there always is, and it cannot be something as esoteric as "resource depletion." You can't go to war with that." Emersonbiggins

"... hope is a rotten-thighed whore" Niko Kazantzakis

We are going back to roccland - me


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 Post subject: Re: HRE deal failing! We are at critical mass!
New postPosted: Sun Oct 05, 2008 2:52 pm 
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Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 12:00 am
Posts: 4425
Quote:
long-term minimum of around 9700


Benjamin Graham, instructor of Warren Buffett and guru of "value investing" said that the historical long term PE of the DJIA is 7:1. Anything over that is, as he put it, "water" (although since he did his writing in the 50's it probably did not occur to him that water would at one point be more valuable and expensive than many other substances).

So, with a current Dow 30 PE of about 16:1 the market can still go down about 60% and be correctly valued, from a historical standpoint.


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