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bratticus
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Post subject: Felip Calderon's Beloved, Mourino, Is Dead! Posted: Wed Nov 12, 2008 5:45 am |
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Joined: Thu Jun 12, 2008 12:00 am Posts: 1434 Location: Bratislava
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Quote: The Battle for Pemex: a Mexican Oil Worker Explains Energy Reform by Kristin Bricker - November 4, 2008 at 6:25 pm Mexican Congress approves light reforms for the state oil company; legislators vow to continue the campaign to privatize Pemex ... Narco News: How do you respond to politicians’ statements in the media that Mexico is running out of petroleum, so Pemex needs to be privatized before this happens? Gomezcana Morales: Peak oil is a reality. Peak oil is petroleum’s downfall. This year we’ve hit peak oil at a global level--we’ve reached the zenith, and now comes the drop in petroleum reserves. We’re seeing this in Mexico. Mexico will stop producing petroleum. We’re not finding new oilfields. We’re already experiencing a strong decrease in petroleum reserves globally. The problem is that there aren’t alternative projects. The few projects that exist that are searching for alternative energy sources are redundant. Foreigners are carrying out these projects. It’s written into Plan Puebla Panama that in the case of Mexico's wind power, instead of the [state-owned] electric company[4] having the responsibility to invest in wind power projects, they grant the right to install windmills in this zone to foreign private companies like Spain’s Repsol. It’s our wind, even though that sounds a little abstract. The profits won’t be for Mexico. The profits are for the foreign companies. Repsol doesn’t even have the infrastructure to carry out these types of projects. Repsol subcontracts the work to other foreign companies, just like Halliburton does. And they keep granting these projects to Repsol and Halliburton because the neoliberal governments--like Mexico’s--allow it. Something else very important is going on in Mexico. No other country would permit the conflict of interests that exists in the Mexican Ministry of the Interior (Segob in its Spanish initials). Felipe Calderon’s little pet Juan Camilo Mourino [the current Secretary of the Interior] has a conflict of interest in our country’s energy sector.[5] He’s Spanish. So he’s promoting Spanish investment in our country. They have vested interests here. To sum it up, there are two completely different projects here: the Global South’s project and the North’s project. Those of us from below, and the powerful. Those of us who defend all of our resources--one of them being petroleum--from projects like Plan Puebla Panama, and those who want what’s ours. ... [4] Electricity is also nationalized in Mexico under the government’s Federal Electricity Commission (CFE in its Spanish initials). [5] In 2002 and 20003, while working as an aid to then-Secretary of Energy Felipe Calderon, Mourino signed at least three energy contracts as an official representative of his father’s Mexican transportation company Transportes Especializados Ivancar. The contracts were for services provided to Pemex. Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, who presented the contracts to the media, said, “He obtained million-peso contracts by directly awarding them in order to benefit his family business.” But right after that: boom for real!Quote: Juan Camilo Mourino (RIP) and Energy Reform in MexicoMr. Mourino's energy legacy is mixed: The energy reforms of 2008 are likely to benefit those service companies that, already, have lucrative contracts with Pemex. The reform of Article 33 of the Federal Administration Law provides that the Energy Ministry will submit to the Foreign Ministry (SRE) proposals for agreements and treaties for cross-border oilfields. Quote: Juan Camilo Mourino (RIP) and Energy Reform in MexicoMr. Mourino's energy legacy is mixed: The energy reforms of 2008 are likely to benefit those service companies that, already, have lucrative contracts with Pemex. The reform of Article 33 of the Federal Administration Law provides that the Energy Ministry will submit to the Foreign Ministry (SRE) proposals for agreements and treaties for cross-border oilfields. Quote: Juan Camilo Mourino, Secretario de Gobernacion, killedIt’s going to be impossible NOT to speculate on the narcotics angle… but given that among Mourino’s political activities during his short tenure was his attempt to “sell” PEMEX de-nationalization, the location of the crashsite is either an odd coincidence, or a very werid ironic statement. The Calderon Administration has been trying -- with less and less success -- to claim the war on drug dealers will make Mexico safer. The recent arrests of high level police and security officials (including people working in the United States Embassy) for passing information to the narcos has only been the latest (and so far most serious) security breach to come out of the narco-war. Politically, resistance to the Administration’s proposed PEMEX reforms -- pushed by Mourino -- will mean the Calderon Administration will be in even more difficulty and resistance from the opposition parties to other domestic programs is likely to increase
Last edited by bratticus on Wed Nov 12, 2008 3:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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pup55
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Post subject: Re: Felip Calderon's Little Pet, Mourino, Is Dead! Posted: Wed Nov 12, 2008 6:36 am |
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Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 12:00 am Posts: 4447
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Yeah, the crazy little country of Mexico. We calculated awhile back that there are a lot worse places to be, but let us summarize the situation by saying their four most important sources of income are the following (not necessarily in order):
1. Fossil Fuels
2. narcotics--almost as addictive
3. Exporting their young men for labor
4. Tourism
So it does not take a genius to figure out what is going to be left over when TSHTF.
Ironically, they should do quite well at it. There is a giant, ready customer just to their north, with insatiable demand. The stuff (especially weed) grows readily in their rich soil, under the prevailing weather conditions, and transportation is relatively simple, and best of all, the ruling elite that is involved in the other three are already deeply entrenched in the fourth.
There is the minor issue that it's illegal in the US, but the supply chain is already well developed, no problem to get the stuff cheaply in anyplace in the US.
So let the fun begin.
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bratticus
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Post subject: Re: Felip Calderon's Beloved, Mourino, Is Dead! Posted: Thu Nov 13, 2008 5:26 am |
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Joined: Thu Jun 12, 2008 12:00 am Posts: 1434 Location: Bratislava
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So do people think that the plane crash was an accident or what? The part about it exploding as it was landing is weird. I'm not convinced either way though.
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ReverseEngineer
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Post subject: Re: Felip Calderon's Little Pet, Mourino, Is Dead! Posted: Thu Nov 13, 2008 5:36 am |
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Joined: Wed Jul 16, 2008 12:00 am Posts: 3584
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pup55 wrote: . There is a giant, ready customer just to their north, with insatiable demand. The stuff (especially weed) grows readily in their rich soil, under the prevailing weather conditions, and transportation is relatively simple, and best of all, the ruling elite that is involved in the other three are already deeply entrenched in the fourth. There is the minor issue that it's illegal in the US, but the supply chain is already well developed, no problem to get the stuff cheaply in anyplace in the US. So let the fun begin.
In order to buy drugs, you have to have a relatively better off economy than the drug supplier. That economy is crumbling. So unless you postulate interrnal demand for drugs in Mexico picking up the slack for demand destruction in the USA, its hard to figure how this will generate all that much money for Mexico.
Reverse Engineer
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bratticus
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Post subject: Re: Felip Calderon's Beloved, Mourino, Is Dead! Posted: Thu Nov 13, 2008 5:47 am |
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Joined: Thu Jun 12, 2008 12:00 am Posts: 1434 Location: Bratislava
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Can't we keep the discussion on the topic of the potential assassination of a Spanish Mexican official who was trying to open Mexico's closed energy system up to Spanish concerns instead of bullsh!t stoner crap?
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pup55
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Post subject: Re: Felip Calderon's Beloved, Mourino, Is Dead! Posted: Thu Nov 13, 2008 6:09 am |
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Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 12:00 am Posts: 4447
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Quote: its hard to figure how this will generate all that much money for Mexico.
Beer Sales up through Sept
Ethanol Consumption by year, 1934-current
Well, of course the data is not available for dope, since it is illegal, but the closest proxy we have is for alcohol. During the last serious downturn, 1980-81, we had the all time high (sorry for the bad pun) of 2.75 gallons per-capita in the US from all types of booze. I know that part of this was the fact that the baby boom was at prime alcohol consuming age (I can assure you I did my part in those years), but, the suggestion is pretty obvious. There was a smaller uptick in 1990, during the little recession that took place that year.
Too bad it was illegal in 1929-1934 because of prohibition, so we do not have any good data on that.
Sorry for this tendency on my part to overthink one more topic, but it looks as though the big increase those years was in the hard stuff (spirits), suggesting we we were actually hitting it pretty hard in that era.
Interestingly, the higher gas prices got (2004 and 2005) the more we drank. '05 is the newest data.
So, while it remains to be seen what will happen exactly in the market for illegal drugs, it appears that historically, when the going gets tough, the tough get loaded.
Of course, if we descend into mad-max, there is still some question, but this shows that people will go to some sacrifice to get wasted.
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