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Page added on January 5, 2017

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Half of world population made air travel in 2016

Half of world population made air travel in 2016 thumbnail

A total of 3.7 billion passengers took scheduled flights in 2016 –which amounts to almost half of the global population.

A preliminary data, released by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), shows a growth of 6.0% in 2016, compared to 2015. The number of worldwide scheduled flights rose to approximately 35 million. This means that the average scheduled flight carried approximately 106 passengers.

Despite its relatively sluggish growth, Europe still accounted for the largest share of international RPKs in 2016, with 36%. Asia Pacific was second with 29%, while the Middle East surged into third place with a 15% share, driven by the growth of the major Gulf carriers.

More than half of people of travelled across an international border last year were transported by air.

Low-cost carriers accounted for about 28% of the world total scheduled passengers in 2016, crossing the milestone of one billion passengers for the first time. LCCs in Europe represented 32% of total passengers carried by LCCs, followed by Asia Pacific (31%) and North America (25%). ICAO noted that the growth of LCCs was most notable in emerging economies.

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21 Comments on "Half of world population made air travel in 2016"

  1. makati1 on Thu, 5th Jan 2017 7:35 pm 

    Where are the “renewable” fuels for this kind of travel? LOL

    BTW: Now you can see how diseases spread and how easy it would be to introduce a man-made virus all over he world in a mater of days.

    If you still don’t understand … take a look at this”

    https://www.flightradar24.com/

    The current planes in the air. Zoom in on any area you are interested in and see the real number.

  2. Midnight Oil on Thu, 5th Jan 2017 7:51 pm 

    Hmmm, had an article that claimed only 5% of the world’s population will fly on a plane, yet half the number actually did last year!
    Cool…some folks practically do it everyday it seems….that seems fair.
    Suppose that is why they have hourly shuttle service between BOS, LGA and DCA…
    Yep, remember the Trump Shuttle!?
    Another money maker (sarcasm).
    We are doomed

  3. Cloggie on Fri, 6th Jan 2017 2:45 am 

    Unintentionally the headline suggest that half of the world population sat at least once in an aircraft in 2016. Nothing could be further from the truth. Here some guestimates:

    http://www.airspacemag.com/daily-planet/how-much-worlds-population-has-flown-airplane-180957719/

    US-population indeed 50%.

    But their best guess is that per year only 6% of the world’s population sees an aircraft from the inside.

    The globalist MSM has taken a beating this years thanks to the Trump episode and all those civilians-with-an-attitude and an internet connection. Nevertheless even CNN can produce funny pieces about tourism. They come up with an inventory of the world’s “best tourists”. Jump to the “shortcomings section” for the fun part.

    http://travel.cnn.com/explorations/life/worlds-best-tourists-026319/

    10. Canadians “Declaring themselves not American at every opportunity, as if they think they’re going to be blamed for the Iraq war, global warming or Sarah Palin.”

    9. English “The nuclear tan. Deprived of sunlight at home, the English love frazzling their delicate complexions with the deadly rays emanating from our nearest star. They can (usually) speak English, and the tendency to burn can be used as a handy vacation timeline. Day 1: alabaster. Day 2: lobster. Day 3: blister. Day 4: peeler. For the English, vacations and alcohol go together like cheap liquor and waking up in a foreign hospital attached to a drip. Always unable to communicate in the local lingo, they resort to speaking English slowly and loudly: “Call … the … embassy … someone … has … stolen … my … kidney …””

    7. Australians “Wearing the Aussie uniform of shorts, singlet and flip-flops regardless of local climate or cultural sensitivities. Infectious laid-back nature. If they’d been able to get visas, there would probably have been congenial Australians dressed like surfers wandering around Afghanistan under the Taliban. “Nice beard, mate … Congregating and abbreviating. Great on their own, but tough to take in large numbers (as witnessed in the Aussified bars of Bali’s Kuta resort), largely thanks to beer intake and insistence on shortening every second word. “Cazza and Wozza are going to Afghazza this arvo …”

    6. Italians: “Italians’ love of designer labels doesn’t leave them when they depart the shopping piazzas of Milan. It’s not unknown to see Italian women scaling the slopes of Machu Picchu in stiletto heels and using Gucci handbags to ward off slobbering llamas.”

    3. Americans: “Dress like professional golfers … the ones who didn’t qualify for the tour… Yes, some are still loud and prone to complaining. But years of PC inculcation and generally peaceful life in one of the world’s most ethnically diverse countries has made most Americans more culturally sensitive than they’re often given credit for… Still seem to think “American” is synonymous with “entitled.”

    2. Germans “The diminutive swimwear has got to go.”

  4. Cloggie on Fri, 6th Jan 2017 4:21 am 

    A preliminary data, released by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), shows a growth of 6.0% in 2016, compared to 2015.

    Wonder what Richard Heinberg and shortonoil have to say about this development.

    This is not exactly what most of us in 2012 thought would happen in 2016.

    Summarizing my own fossil sins of 2016:

    Driving 100 times to a client in my home town: 100 x 10 x 2 = 2000 km.

    Driving perhaps 15 times to far away family and friends: 15 x 100 x 2 = 3000 km.

    Drove to Dubrovnik/Croatia from my home town: 1800 km. There my car broke down and I gave it away for free to a guy who happened to be a 2nd hand car hobbyist and happened to live 50 m from the place where my car broke down.

    6800 car km in total.

    From Dubrovnik I flew to Rome: 500 km.

    After a few days from Rome back to Holland by train with a stop of a week in the Swiss Alps: 1500 km

    Still in holiday mood I cycled from Holland to Gothenburg/Sweden via Jutland/Denmark, which of course doesn’t count as a fossil sin.

    Traveled back via Rostock by train: 1200 km.

    One week holiday in Istanbul/Turkey, flying from Amsterdam: 2 x 2700 = 5400 km

    Total “fossil” km in 2016: 15,400
    (car 6800, train 2700, plane 5900)

    Average yearly Dutch car distance: 13,300 km

    Average Dutch flying distance: 1,300

    So, kilometer-wise, pretty much Dutch average.

    Have to admit that during the four months I didn’t have a car, I absolutely did not miss it (but did enjoy the first few hundred kilometers when I had one again).

  5. Davy on Fri, 6th Jan 2017 5:36 am 

    Nearly 58MIL people flew in 1960 (US) with a US population of 180.7MIL. By then bus travel was 23.4%, rail was 27.3% and air was 49.3% of traveled. Just 10 years earlier airlines were 14.2, bus service was 38%, and rail was 47.8%. PDF]Progress, Problems and Potential – Airlines For America, http://airlines.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/1961.pdf.

    I like to use 1960 as a reasonable baseline for some kind of civilization revision. We had around 3BIL people in 1960. Is it possible for sustainability at this population level? How much air travel is needed today? An air passenger figure of 3.7BIL today is needless to say excessive. The problem is globalism and market based capitalism has created a travel and leisure industry that employs millions. This is now a vital part of global GDP in regards to financial stability. This number is not a vital number for survival if we had a different kind of world. We don’t need to be flying this much. How many vacations are needed? How much business needs to be conducted by air? Today we are a global civilization so it is now vital to have air travel. Without air travel current globalism will not work. It is not clear if attitudes and lifestyles could change to allow a different kind of globalism. Maybe we could have a globalism someday that incorporates a significant electronic connectivity for business and personal relationships. Localism is a vital idea if we are going to find increased sustainability and resilience to the terrible predicaments we are in. Do we need so many trips and how many should be beyond a local distance?

    If techno optimist are wrong and we are heading for a consumption and population rebalance what is a forced reduction in travel miles going to result in socially and economically? Modern civilization is built on travel especially car travel. It is basically non-negotiable in that regards. It might be adaptable for a while with less travel and more alternative connectivity. It is likely our travel nature will last well into a period of decline. We will manage to travel and society will manage to arrange that travel until it can’t, then what? If the techno optimist are right and we are going to progress into a new world of alternatives energies and increased efficiency then will we see more sustainable development and population numbers that level off?

    There is nothing out there to readily replace status quo travel by air. Autos, buses, and trains can be electrified and run by alternative energy sources. Ocean travel could maybe be electrified and sail power incorporated. It is likely some fossil fuel sources will continue. This still is all farfetched to me because I don’t see a transition possible because of scale, timing, and problems of limits. I see us continuing until we can’t then a forced reduction in a multitude of status quo activities and with that forced reduction, a failure of global economics. With a failure of global economics there will surely be a die off of some kind. This all could happen as a process over a time period with quantities that are an average of extremes. Different locations will be worse/better depending on their comparative advantage/disadvantage. What may happen is a combination of location and complexity based decline but in a gentle trend of decline. There is so much fossil fuels and equipment around this will allow people to salvage a life for some time. We are a creative species for managing to survive. It is clear some areas are too far gone. These areas are already at limits and we are entering an age of increased resource scarcity along with cascading ecological failures. Large urban areas have been the trend everywhere and these locations will be increasingly unstable because of the forces of decline. Climate instability and rising sea levels will conspire against modern civilization causing dislocation and economic losses. In such a system as ours if and when we enter an aggregate decline process a sudden failure will always be possible. Yet, a muddle through of sorts may be possible at least in some regions. This is an unknown only for speculation but it doesn’t look good with overpopulation and ecological failures in progress.

    We are likely in the vicinity of such a decline but there is still plenty of growth and resources. Population levels are not yet beyond our food production capacity. Now is the time for world leadership on a plan B but with so many techno optimists in leadership and the short-termism of modern man it is likely no plan B will ever develop beyond more of the same but adapted with an emphasis on more technology and efficiency. More technology that got us here doesn’t sound smart. This likely leaves you individually at your local to make arrangements for this period of decline. This period that is undefined in time and scale but appears increasingly likely.

    I have been studying this daily now for 11 years. Before that I had a background interest in it from exposure to issues in college and current events since 83. While there has been periods of optimism with my thinking I am now pessimistic. Alternative energy strategies are likely too little too late and populations too great. Some areas might become regional or local byzantine success stories but vast areas probably have little future as-is. Climate change appears to be going into abrupt change. I am not even sure if an individual plan B will be very successful for any significant numbers.

    I am a dedicated prepper and I look around sometimes and wonder WTF. Even with my fortunate circumstance to have the ability to make this effort I often find it overwhelming. Until more peoples do more there is probably little hope for a plan B even for individuals. That said maybe techno optimist are right. Maybe I am just being absurd trying to prep for a failure of civilization. I know one thing I have bought myself some time to see a collapse unfold. Maybe not much but some. I am also very happy with my lifestyle and attitudes even if nothing happens. These lifestyles and attitudes have given me some meaning where today meaning is in shortage.

  6. Hubert on Fri, 6th Jan 2017 9:49 am 

    This ain’t going to last too long.

  7. Sissyfuss on Fri, 6th Jan 2017 10:05 am 

    Damn Cloggie, you got the carbon footprint of a small nation! I’m sure you’re not losing any sleep over it though.

  8. Cloggie on Fri, 6th Jan 2017 10:13 am 

    That must be a very small nation, so small that its existence escaped my attention.

    And no, I sleep well. Thank’s for asking.

  9. Sissyfuss on Fri, 6th Jan 2017 2:49 pm 

    You’ve never heard of Clogistan? It’s a tax haven for former Nazi elites.

  10. peakyeast on Fri, 6th Jan 2017 4:11 pm 

    2016:
    Drove about 10.000 KM (work)@26 KM/L (Diesel).
    House used 1500KWh for heating+elec.
    Wifey car: approx. 1500KM @22KM/L (Diesel)
    Used 40 Liter Diesel on my Excavator

  11. makati1 on Fri, 6th Jan 2017 5:33 pm 

    Peaky, I flew about 25,000 miles round trip to the U$ last year and it used about 333 gallons of jet fuel for my seat (~75mpg). Add in a few taxis and buses over the year and it adds up to less than 400 gallons. When lived and worked in the U$, I used 4-5 times that much in a years time depending on my commute. I have one more U$ trip and then my annual fuel consumption will drop to double digits. But then, I have no idea how much was used to transport the stuff I buy from source to store. Probably a lot more than 400 gallons.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fuel_economy_in_aircraft

  12. peakyeast on Fri, 6th Jan 2017 6:31 pm 

    I have to ask: Has Peakoil.com implemented one of those disgusting politically correct free speech censoring filters?

    And has anything happened to our local mad apeman?

  13. Boat on Fri, 6th Jan 2017 7:52 pm 

    peak yeast,

    I hope the ape is just taking a break. Political correctness is overrated. Who wants to live like Russia and China. You can end up jailed or dead for an opinion.

  14. makati1 on Fri, 6th Jan 2017 8:47 pm 

    Boat, you missed the U$ in your list.

    “Protect Your Privacy Online: How To Stop Facebook From Spying On You With Smart Fashion”
    “Democratic Party Line Could Torch Civil Liberties… and Maybe Help Blow Up the World”
    “Locating Fascism on the Home Map”
    “Boom: Record 27 million guns bought in 2016”
    “Trump’s Neo-Fascism will be Built on Neo-Fascism of Obama and Democrat Party”
    “Fridges and washing machines could be vital witnesses in murder plots”
    “WikiLeaks Update: Julian Assange’s Whistle-blowers Promise More Documents Released In 2017”
    “The War Against Alternative Information”
    “Forecast 2017: The Wheels Finally Come Off”
    “A giant wave of store closures is about to hit the US”
    “2017: a Volatile Year from All Angles”
    “Dallas Pension Not Only “Ticking Time Bomb Ready To Explode,” Public Policy Director Warns”

    Tell me again which of these articles is a positive for America? LMAO

  15. Cloggie on Sat, 7th Jan 2017 3:05 am 

    You’ve never heard of Clogistan? It’s a tax haven for former Nazi elites.

    Never heard of it but I already noticed that you like to make things up as you go.

    Must be a country where these kind of things don’t happen:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xrc94hjhCyo

    But you don’t have the faintest clue about history (of the USSR) and what is going to happen to the US, now do you? Instead you prefer to get brainwashed by the History Channel.

  16. Cloggie on Sat, 7th Jan 2017 3:12 am 

    I hope the ape is just taking a break.

    A very long break I hope.

    Friday is probably frozen to the driver seat of his car, while driving north in search of palm trees, some doomer site said were growing in the Northern Territories due to global warming.

    My home town is covered by snow today. Unfortunately I have to do away the Christmas tree because the municipality will collect them for free only today. Bad timing.

  17. peakyeast on Sat, 7th Jan 2017 4:06 am 

    @boat: I couldnt agree more!

  18. Davy on Sat, 7th Jan 2017 4:47 am 

    Clog, 5(F) here today and 57 Tuesday. That is the kind of climate change that is likely ahead for many of us. Extremes of temp, of precipitation, and duration of patterns. I would like to explore more about the good side of these changes. Warmer and wetter winters here in the Ozarks are not such a bad thing. Man I dread the summer though. Currently all we hear about is the negatives in an agenda that is a warning. I am not denying climate change or diminishing the dangers. My point is climate change is likely a foregone conclusion so let’s try to adapt to it and do less whining about it. Let’s make some appropriate changes and stop deluding ourselves we can make things right again.

  19. Cloggie on Sat, 7th Jan 2017 6:27 am 

    Perhaps:

    https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2016/03/23/falling-sea-level/

    That’s -41 Celcius.

    Look, I am only interested in worrying about things we (European world) can change.

    You want though measures, like CO2-taxes to be put in a renewable investment fund? Or draconian government regulations imposed on the car industry, telling they should make extremely energy efficient cars only? Fanatical recycling regulation?

    All for it.

    But regarding over-population… since we are not going to nuke huge third world cities for “thinning purposes”, the only thing that remains is closing our borders and restrain ourselves to throwing lesbian propaganda leaflets over the third world. Especially Saudi-Arabia.lol

  20. Cloggie on Sat, 7th Jan 2017 6:29 am 

    Sorry, wrong link:

    https://twitter.com/SoVeryFinnish/status/816963448747737088

  21. Cloggie on Tue, 10th Jan 2017 5:56 am 

    Davy says I would like to explore more about the good side of these changes. Warmer and wetter winters here in the Ozarks are not such a bad thing. Man I dread the summer though. Currently all we hear about is the negatives in an agenda that is a warning.

    When I was younger I strongly preferred the Winter over the Summer, for coziness reasons. Never really was an outdoor guy.

    Now that I passed 60 it is the other way around; January-March are the months I dread and I now understand better all these old English who love to hibernate in Spain during the Winter (or Americans in Florida).

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