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Meanwhile, keep watching for shortage reports, because we should start seeing some sneak in this week, if our doom-o-meter is calibrated correctly.

pup55

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  Topic: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
pup55

Replies: 546
Views: 43961

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sun Sep 07, 2008 9:03 am   Subject: Re: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
Unleaded Prediction 5-Sep
Beginning Inv mbbl 194.4
Imports Wk/Day 4.9 0.7
Production Wk/Day 56.7 8.10
Available 256
Balance Wk/Day 69.0 9.85
Ending Inv Mbbl 187.05
Prod Supplied 9.4
Predi ...
  Topic: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
pup55

Replies: 546
Views: 43961

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sun Sep 07, 2008 1:12 am   Subject: Re: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
Don't see an excess of reports for shortages in 2000 though

Good graph, The Dude. It will be interesting to see how it all shakes out. In 2000, like now, the inventory issues evidently were hittin ...
  Topic: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
pup55

Replies: 546
Views: 43961

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sat Sep 06, 2008 7:52 pm   Subject: Re: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
Welcome, i4iguy.

Good idea. Another day or so, and the models will be better on the eventual direction of Ike too.
  Topic: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
pup55

Replies: 546
Views: 43961

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sat Sep 06, 2008 6:44 pm   Subject: Re: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
product shift and import additions

Now there's an interesting point....

I made the assumption above that they would produce at about the same rate and ratio that they did before the storm, but t ...
  Topic: Your Exercise Regime
pup55

Replies: 29
Views: 544

PostForum: Planning For The Future   Posted: Sat Sep 06, 2008 6:40 pm   Subject: Re: Your Exercise Regime
Monday: Run: 2 mile warmup, 2X800 meters hard as possible, mile cooldown, situps, pushups weights

Tuesday: Run 3 easy, pushups, situps

Wednesday: Weights, run 7 easy at Niketown (the chick that ...
  Topic: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
pup55

Replies: 546
Views: 43961

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sat Sep 06, 2008 5:32 pm   Subject: Re: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
http://img129.imageshack.us/img129/382/gustavfinishedproductsue5.th.pnghttp://img233.imageshack.us/img233/4209/gustavcrudeinputsrh7.th.png

Here are a couple of graphs. I went back through the situa ...
  Topic: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
pup55

Replies: 546
Views: 43961

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sat Sep 06, 2008 1:41 pm   Subject: Re: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
[url=http://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/docs/2008_SitRep_10_Gustav_90608_11am.pdf]Situation Report 10

Well, almost time to work on our prediction for the week. Almost 1 mbpd refinery capacity (six refineri ...
  Topic: Friday closure banks
pup55

Replies: 43
Views: 3239

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Fri Sep 05, 2008 4:15 pm   Subject: Re: Friday closure banks
LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Columbia Bancorp (CBBO:
columbia bancorp ore com news, chart, profile, more
Last: 4.09-0.04-0.97%
CBBO 4.09, -0.04, -1.0%) , the holding company for Columbia River Bank, ...
  Topic: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge (Sept 3)
pup55

Replies: 222
Views: 20973

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Fri Sep 05, 2008 12:04 pm   Subject: Re: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge (Sept 3)
Usually the data is posted by the EIA sometime in the middle of the week. I typically update it on Friday, unless there is some combination of laziness plus no major standings changes.

Fish Are Be ...
  Topic: 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge II (Sept 3)
pup55

Replies: 60
Views: 4640

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:56 am   Subject: Re: 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge II (Aug 19)
high low close Average
145.29109.35109.35 124.582

High Low Close Averhigh dilow difclose Overall
Denny 141 103 113 4.29 6.35 3.6 ...
  Topic: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge (Sept 3)
pup55

Replies: 222
Views: 20973

PostForum: Economics & Finance   Posted: Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:54 am   Subject: Re: The 2008 PO.com Oil Price Challenge (Aug 19)
High Low Close average
145.29 86.99109.35 114.68
High Low Close Avg Hi DiffLow DifClose Overall
wisconsin_cur 145.32 82.63115.55 0.03 ...
  Topic: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
pup55

Replies: 546
Views: 43961

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Thu Sep 04, 2008 9:16 am   Subject: Re: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
Unleaded 29-Aug
Beginning Inv 195.4
Imports 6.16 0.88
Production 65.8 9.4
Available 267.36
Ending Inv 194.4
Balance 72.96
Balance/day 10.42
Prod Supplied 9.4
Actual Change -1. ...
  Topic: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
pup55

Replies: 546
Views: 43961

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Thu Sep 04, 2008 6:45 am   Subject: Re: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
You're probably right. I also think there is an error in my unleaded demand calculation (ugh).

That's the difference between me and someone who does this for a living.
  Topic: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
pup55

Replies: 546
Views: 43961

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Thu Sep 04, 2008 5:07 am   Subject: Re: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
The U.S. Energy Department's Energy Information Administration is scheduled to release its report on U.S. oil stocks for the week ended Aug. 29 later in the day. The petroleum supply report was expect ...
  Topic: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
pup55

Replies: 546
Views: 43961

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Thu Sep 04, 2008 1:21 am   Subject: Re: Weekly US Petroleum and NG Supply Reports (Current)
Aug 05, 2005 8761
Aug 12, 2005 8725
Aug 19, 2005 8623
Aug 26, 2005 8799
Sep 02, 2005 8063
Sep 09, 2005 8486
Sep 16, 2005 8773
Sep 23, 2005 8586
Sep 30, 2005 7507
Oct 07, 2005 7887
Oct 14, 20 ...
 
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