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  Topic: Natural gas "cliff" debunked by JD!
TonyPrep

Replies: 36
Views: 2224

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Sat Aug 30, 2008 8:56 pm   Subject: Re: Natural gas "cliff" debunked by JD!
There's nothing in that story about production rates and what the demand is projected to be. Such claims of longevity are not very practical. Are they expecting 118 years of production at current cons ...
  Topic: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million bpd
TonyPrep

Replies: 97
Views: 4117

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 4:27 pm   Subject: Re: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million b
But characterising a 10 year period during which oil consumption had two very marked periods, first of decline, then of increase, as "essentially flat" is misleading, IMO.What you're stating is delibe ...
  Topic: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million bpd
TonyPrep

Replies: 97
Views: 4117

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Fri Aug 29, 2008 4:25 pm   Subject: Re: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million b
Yup, that's what I said.No it isn't. You said...
a decade of flat consumption.And I said...
average production was essentially flat.Yup, that's what I said. The distinction doesn't seem as clear to ...
  Topic: ConocoPhillips, Lukoil field heading for peak output
TonyPrep

Replies: 7
Views: 432

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Thu Aug 28, 2008 6:37 pm   Subject: Re: ConocoPhillips, Lukoil field heading for peak output
If there is somebody out there who believes that oil will not peak at some point, then that person is either ignorant of the facts or a believer in an unsupported abiotic theory, or, if neither of th ...
  Topic: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million bpd
TonyPrep

Replies: 97
Views: 4117

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Thu Aug 28, 2008 1:37 pm   Subject: Re: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million b
If we take some interval/data to measure an average of, and every point between the starting and ending points has a greater value associated with it, then the average consumption will be higher, in t ...
  Topic: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million bpd
TonyPrep

Replies: 97
Views: 4117

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Thu Aug 28, 2008 1:35 pm   Subject: Re: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million b
How can it give a false impression?Come, on yesplease, I'm sure you're more intelligent than that. You said it was a decade of flat consumption. It most certainly was not flat, essential or not.No, I ...
  Topic: Natural gas "cliff" debunked by JD!
TonyPrep

Replies: 36
Views: 2224

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2008 2:56 pm   Subject: Re: Natural gas "cliff" debunked by JD!
We need to save our crude oil...save it for what?It's not really a question of saving it but of stopping using it, since it's limited and using it degrades our environment.

As part of the weaning p ...
  Topic: Natural gas "cliff" debunked by JD!
TonyPrep

Replies: 36
Views: 2224

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2008 1:11 am   Subject: Re: Natural gas "cliff" debunked by JD!
This isn't because of peak anything, it is because of a couple decades worth of shitty monetary policies.There are probably many factors. One could be the steep rise in the cost of oil and all the pro ...
  Topic: Catalog of recent oil discoveries
TonyPrep

Replies: 312
Views: 25949

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2008 1:06 am   Subject: Re: Catalog of recent oil discoveries
As OF2 has said: "this is a thread about discoveries, not reserves, future production rates, or anything else like that"

So don't place too much significance on the total numbers given here. There ...
  Topic: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million bpd
TonyPrep

Replies: 97
Views: 4117

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sun Aug 24, 2008 5:57 pm   Subject: Re: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million b
TonyPrep is not making any sense at all, while Yesplease does.So, you are happy with the characterisation of a decade when oil consumption declined markedly for 4-5 years, then increased markedly for ...
  Topic: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million bpd
TonyPrep

Replies: 97
Views: 4117

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sun Aug 24, 2008 3:26 pm   Subject: Re: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million b
How can it give a false impression?Come, on yesplease, I'm sure you're more intelligent than that. You said it was a decade of flat consumption. It most certainly was not flat, essential or not.

As ...
  Topic: Natural gas "cliff" debunked by JD!
TonyPrep

Replies: 36
Views: 2224

PostForum: Peak Oil Discussion   Posted: Sun Aug 24, 2008 5:23 am   Subject: Re: Natural gas "cliff" debunked by JD!
I posted a link which showed, at current consumption rates, that estimates of natural gas run about 60 years.Such figures aren't very useful. What is more useful is understanding when production can't ...
  Topic: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million bpd
TonyPrep

Replies: 97
Views: 4117

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Sat Aug 23, 2008 3:36 pm   Subject: Re: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million b
If oil production goes down 20% over some time period, and then over some equal time period directly after that increases 20%, is it not accurate to say that over the sum of both periods average produ ...
  Topic: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million bpd
TonyPrep

Replies: 97
Views: 4117

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Fri Aug 22, 2008 4:45 pm   Subject: Re: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million b
Fair enough. Average oil consumption was flat for a decade plus.Big deal. you tried to give the impression that oil consumption was essentially flat for a decade. That would have been truly misleading ...
  Topic: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million bpd
TonyPrep

Replies: 97
Views: 4117

PostForum: Current Events   Posted: Fri Aug 22, 2008 5:31 am   Subject: Re: IEA: Production up 890,000 bbl in July to 87.8 million b
Is there some statistically significant disconnect between the two?They may be. What does the consumption graph look like?
Fair enough. Average oil consumption was flat for a decade plus.Big deal. yo ...
 
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